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Pattern Jammin' January

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Thank you. MLK it is.

But what's up with that stubborn vortex north of Hudson Bay? That thing just sits there the whole run and doesn't move. Wonder if it interferes with the cold delivery.
 
FV3 has been showing some serious frigid air dropping into the south the last week of Jan for a few runs now but the GFS has temps 20°F warmer for the same days. Which way will it go?
 
FV3 has been showing some serious frigid air dropping into the south the last week of Jan for a few runs now but the GFS has temps 20°F warmer for the same days. Which way will it go?

I say it will go the very cold FV3, GEFS, GEPS, and now EPS way. The GFS is warm biased in case you didn't know and is therefore on a warm island.
 
With a 1068 over Greenland and a 1062 north of Alaska and two 1055 highs dropping into the us? Absolutely crazy and unrealistic.
Seems like to me that with HPs that strong moving our way there wouldn't be a drop of moisture North of Cuba. I would think we would be facing bone dry air in the SE if that verifies. Maybe the STJ would say otherwise.
 
Thank you. MLK it is.

But what's up with that stubborn vortex north of Hudson Bay? That thing just sits there the whole run and doesn't move. Wonder if it interferes with the cold delivery.
You want that pv lobe there. In recent years that pv lobe sitting in that location with a epo ridge has acted as a pseudo -nao. If you remove that feature you open yourself up to cutting

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This system has been showing up on it's past several runs. Of course, it's too early to say that it will being winter weather, but something to watch. If it will turn out to be a winter event, perhaps it will be a "ticket" storm for area's further south that hasn't seen much in the way of snowfall (yet) this winter.
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