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Pattern Jammin' January

Yup, there's going to be a low along the boundary again.
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I think someone has already mention this but that set up Thursday does look similar to December of 2017.
 
I am amazed at how consistent this winter we see a cold and snowy 18Z GFS, and then a warm and rainy 6Z suite. I mean it just never fails. Anyone have an explanation?
 
FV3 moved away from being as glorious as it was for Alabama. Still has the idea, but it's west:

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GEFS actually seems to support it a bit more though. For the time period after it, most ensembles are NS dominant, but there was one that was pretty wild.
 
FV3 moved away from being as glorious as it was for Alabama. Still has the idea, but it's west:

View attachment 11599

GEFS actually seems to support it a bit more though. For the time period after it, most ensembles are NS dominant, but there was one that was pretty wild.
I'm not worried, that's only a hour drive for me to chase lol
 
How? (Actually confused here) It seems like its a guarantee all rain for east of the mtns

I think he said “close” meaning it may be rain verbatim but that may change. I’m not sure I would call anything a guarantee at this point. As many have pointed out, solutions are volatile lately.


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Not quite in NC. The warm bubble will make this a no go for SC imo. We see this a lot when the cold is trying to rush in.
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Great to see the op have this inside 7 days now. Of course Wake is right on the line. Looks a little like the same areas that got the snow in the December storm. Hopefully, we will see some other models follow suit and we finally have a legit threat to track again.
 
Here’s week 2 and 3. Party starts and doesn’t let up thru late Feb.
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Jon,
Thanks. Aren't those just the 0Z EPS maps? (through day 15, which we've already seen. ). I'm looking for weeks 3-6.
 
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