Snowflowxxl
Member
The GEFS is cold all through the run. The whole US is pretty much below average by the end of the run.
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pcbjr
Member
300 mb jet stream forecast out to D5, FWIW ...
http://squall.sfsu.edu/scripts/namjetstream_model_fcst.html
http://squall.sfsu.edu/scripts/namjetstream_model_fcst.html
I'll take that dusting and not ----- at all!!!
Almost back to where the 6z GEFS was yesterday. 6+ for most of TN with 2+ getting way down south.. nearly to Montgomery AL.
Here the individual members on the storm.
Janurary 24-26
Janurary 24-26
NWMSGuy
Member
Not a bad look!FV3 closer
Do I smell a snow chase in the future?FV3 closer
NWMSGuy
Member
This system around the 24th has shown up a few times now on the FV3, that I can remember. This was the 18z this past Sunday.
Jon
Member
Good read from Ian Livingston about the DC winter and winter as a whole.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weat...gton-is-just-now-entering-snowiest-time-year/
Had this image, which is the 11-15 GFS ENS analogs. 2014 is the top analog, I’d take a repeat.
Also before you say it’s DC and not the southeast, think big picture. They still need a similar pattern that we need to make it snow.
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/weat...gton-is-just-now-entering-snowiest-time-year/
Had this image, which is the 11-15 GFS ENS analogs. 2014 is the top analog, I’d take a repeat.
Also before you say it’s DC and not the southeast, think big picture. They still need a similar pattern that we need to make it snow.
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I'm not sure I understand how DC needs the same pattern that places like Atlanta and Birmingham need for snow. Are you referring more to NC ?Good read from Ian Livingston about the DC winter and winter as a whole.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weat...gton-is-just-now-entering-snowiest-time-year/
Had this image, which is the 11-15 GFS ENS analogs. 2014 is the top analog, I’d take a repeat.
Also before you say it’s DC and not the southeast, think big picture. They still need a similar pattern that we need to make it snow.
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18Z GFS VALID @ 18Z TUE JAN 22 2019 THRU 18Z JUN JAN 27 2019. HAD TO RESIZE THE GIF TO MAKE IT SMALL ENOUGH TO WORK ON HERE
Jon
Member
We’ve been through this before. The southeast is a big place. I’m referring to areas of the southeast. Did I say Atlanta and Birmingham? I said big picture.
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Stormlover
Member
Didn't see a Feb. thread, but wow
carolinachaos
Member
Snowflowxxl
Member
NAM not as good this run for the weekend "threat"
Storm for the middle of next week has really trended away from closing off that upper level disturbance on the gfs in the plains
I gotta say, the CMC has been pretty consistent, has that overrunning setup due to energy digging in the SW
Jessy89
Member
Alabama Mississippi Tennessee i think your getting snow. Seems to be locked in on that idea
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Jessy89
Member
Add Georgia North Carolina as well. And probably skipping South Carolina
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Snowflowxxl
Member
GFS a decent hit for the mid week storm for MS, AL, GA
That storm on the 23rd looks to be cold chasing moisture for TX to GA
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If we can get rid of that damn ridge for us in Nc/sc/ga, until then this remains as a western southeast threat, but something to watch as it’s pretty rare to see consistency from the cmc that far out
JLL1973
Member
Looks like just plain old rain here in extreme north ms.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Everyone but Jimmy and Mack see some flakes on this run for the mid week threat it appears.
Gfs is sorta but not really cold chasing moisture but upper level energy lags a bit which causes some overrunning over the front next week although it’s different from the CMC
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I've got a familiar vibe with this one:
Smells similar to December 2017 to me if it keeps trending.
Smells similar to December 2017 to me if it keeps trending.
Storm5
Member
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Don’t mean to be a Donny downer but my bet is on Eastern Tennessee/WNC border and points north
Storm5
Member
Come to daddy
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Just maybe this time ??
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Look at all that energy over there. +100Come to daddy
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Showmeyourtds
Member
2m temps look like hell for GA...upper 30s...then up after the boundary swings thru.
based off the z500hunnit, the storm after 180 looks to be a good one
IF** that can swing down and kick out quickly....THAT might be $$$$$ in the bank.
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Storm5
Member
What a look as long as it doesn’t dump in the west or get strung out this will be good
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Just maybe the start of the storm. 
GeorgiaGirl
Member
At least to me the energy looks like it wants to become a ULL but heck, it might work if it does and kicks.