Golf7575
Member
I will take your word and see where we are come jan 15th. West to east zonal flow wont get er done!
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I will take your word and see where we are come jan 15th. West to east zonal flow wont get er done!
Kylo
Member
The arctic starting to warm over the AO domain on the EPS is a good sign. Hopefully since its slow and steady it means it will be slow to breakdown.
Trends over the last 4 12z runs.
Looks like blocking to me.
You will have to remind me what blocking is called again. Im bumfuzzled.
Joking aside, it is interesting how that 500mb chart looks like how the PV lobes look at 10mb with the big ridge inbetween.
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It does appear next week things cool down at least to near average, that's a plus..and it's looking much less wet than this past week. Thank goodness. I can get the outside decor dried out and stored finally.
pcbjr
Member
Looks like blocking to me.
This, my friend, is just what is needed here to educate those here who really need it ... Thanks for posting (and to the other folks who joined in below) ...
Canadian develops a low in the gulf along a cold front but it is too warm. Close not no cigar. This is for next weekend.
Not sure I can think of another winter where we’ve wasted this many GL’s. We’ll line one up sooner or later
Man that’s ugly to be January 18th
Impressive cold shot D5
Doesn’t look like we get much of a break in the Pacific Jet 
ATLwxfan
Member
06z GFS says rest assured...winter is coming.
To the Northeast.
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To the Northeast.
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Kylo
Member
Kylo
Member
But as others posted yesterday. CFS shows dramatic flip to end January.
I have an extremely hard time putting stock in the CFS. I suppose it could be right, and it fits with what everyone has been saying in terms of timing. But the Ops are now starting to see into the end of Jan, and they’re not showing anything more than hints of a change, which is about the same as the several weeks now. There are still ways to score, but nothing stands out to me yet as being a good looking pattern, at any sort of reasonable lead.
Jessy89
Member
Surprised know one mention this 1 inch type snow for some people. Nothing huge but it be a white ground
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Kylo
Member
Agree, seems like the CFS has been showing days 20-30 as cold, like the weeklies. A good thing is the GEFS and EPS show a more nino like pattern and that should bode well as we end January into February. We can’t mess up a Feb weak nino. Virtually impossible
Kylo
Member
Surprised know one mention this 1 inch type snow for some people. Nothing huge but it be a white ground
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Ensemble agrees.
Jessy89
Member
It’s something to watch at the very least. And being under 200 hrs just maybe models could lock on something here. Even if it’s nothing more then novelty instagram snow.
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Jon
Member
Yep there’s actually a decent signal that has been showing up on the ensembles for the last handful of runs now for the 13th.
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cyclogent
Member
Only a week out. This is ahead of a warm front so not much upside with precip, but 850s and 2m dewpoints are actually decent well into AL and GA (so if precip is heavy enough, would be snow).
