Your screen name is quite apropos!OMG Thank You. I am a half mile to the NNW of North Perry Airport. This was my Tornado.
I have a good friend 4 miles east of that airport, she said it was loud. That area is so dense, any tornado that touches down will do a ton of damage.OMG Thank You. I am a half mile to the NNW of North Perry Airport. This was my Tornado.
Your screen name is quite apropos!
I have a good friend 4 miles east of that airport, she said it was loud. That area is so dense, any tornado that touches down will do a ton of damage.
Your girl said the same thing! ?Iv already accepted my defeat as I watch this go further and further east. I went from looking at 4+ inches of rain to now being lucky if we get 2.
Your girl said the same thing! ?
My first guess is 5”+ for GSP proper. Winds won’t be an issue. Models over hype them time and time again
It seems like your both set up in safe places and it's a bit too late to get on the road, I'd just ride it out. I've been to Disney during a tropical events and actually had one of my best days ever in the parks because people weren't back yet when they opened back up. I wouldn't plan on much in the way of flights until Friday most likely. You guys are in way better shape than many and all the hotels are probably full with people who evacuated from the coast. Orlando tends to hold up well.I posted in the main Ian thread, but I'm stuck in Orlando (Disney Springs area) and on the 6th floor of a hotel. My flight is canceled, so I'm not leaving. I have rounded up enough water for a couple days and enough-ish food. My girlfriend and her daughter are at the Dolphin but they are supposed to check out Thurs morning due to no vacancy. She's debating leaving Wed morning to get back to ATL driving. I told her it is likely too late, especially since she's safe at a Disney hotel. She has a reservation at an off property hotel near me checking in Thurs. I'm just worried about us getting home (me flying whenever that is and her driving). Any "professional" thoughts?
The ukmet not too far off from that either, don't think it can be completely dismissed....i know it's well out in it's run but the last LR HRRR swung Ian way out east like the NAM has been doing.
Agreed and the UK is really as adamant as the ICON with how sharp it hooks the storm back to the NW. Obviously it’s gonna be over land for around 24 hours or so, but if it holds it overall structure well, it really could strengthen back up some before coming back ashore. The environment of the GA/SC isn’t badThe ukmet not too far off from that either, don't think it can be completely dismissed....
There's a different setup this time. The high is going to add in pumping in moisture.WRAL in Raleigh now has Ian running west of where Hugo did back in 89. We didn't get much if any rain from Hugo here. Why aren't the projected totals going down?
Different setup altogether. Hugo just a rapid moving consolidated TC, this will be a system rapidly transitioning to ET, that HP will be pumping onshore flow, jet dynamics different, coastal front traveling inland, all equal higher amounts much further away from TC center.WRAL in Raleigh now has Ian running west of where Hugo did back in 89. We didn't get much if any rain from Hugo here. Why aren't the projected totals going down?
Because it’s not just the hurricane that is gonna produce the rainfall. Strong moist flow off the Atlantic, stalled out coastal, front, and strong jet dynamics coming in from the west. Also I think you’re in an area that could see a good chance at tornadoesWRAL in Raleigh now has Ian running west of where Hugo did back in 89. We didn't get much if any rain from Hugo here. Why aren't the projected totals going down?