I think this has much better potential to overperform vs under but we will see what we getI fully expect a 30 mph brief gust as the tail swishes by this afternoon, don't see any real mechanism to mix those winds down to the surface and more times than not these high wind potentials (here) don't play out as advertised
Seems more realistic and RTMA? What I miss?The RTMA wind gusts analysis is much lower than the 1hr hrrr.
View attachment 51346View attachment 51347
Considering the upper level energy feeding into it and insane forward speed, I would agree...... just seems we usually suck at getting good winds when we're suppose too LolI think this has much better potential to overperform vs under but we will see what we get
I'm on the underperform side. I would be really surprised if any gusts get into the 50s around here. I'm not even holding my breath for a 40 mph gust. But we will see. Already 1 gust to 17.I think this has much better potential to overperform vs under but we will see what we get
Considering the upper level energy feeding into it and insane forward speed, I would agree...... just seems we usually suck at getting good winds when we're suppose too Lol
I think this one is going to be different than the typical tropical wind event since we are going to be able to deepen the mixing layer and actually tap into some of the more impressive speeds in the 950/925/900 layers. Reminds me much more of a winter/spring eventI'm on the underperform side. I would be really surprised if any gusts get into the 50s around here. I'm not even holding my breath for a 40 mph gust. But we will see. Already 1 gust to 17.
Hang on, its brutal in Hickory!And just like that wind has arrived here.
Well I can tell you I’ve already had gusts into the 50s several times in the last 20 minutes and my max gust here was forecasted to be 42mph. I’m just outside the Tropical Storm Warning alsoI'm on the underperform side. I would be really surprised if any gusts get into the 50s around here. I'm not even holding my breath for a 40 mph gust. But we will see. Already 1 gust to 17.
80mph wind gusts on the warningThis almost looks like a sting jet View attachment 51349
80mph wind gusts on the warning