Euro keeping Sally just offshore through Wednesday evening...
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Tropical Hurricane Sally
- Thread starter Henry2326
- Start date
Brent
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Insert screaming gif here ?
accu35
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Well that's good news for me, but probably gonna strengthening again before LF.
WELL THIS REALLY AMPED UP FROM A FEW HRS AGO. THE STEERING IF IM SEEING THIS RIGHT SALLY HAS NO WHERE TO GO BUT NORTH THEN EAST, BUT THIS ALSO DEPENDS ON HOW FAST THE RIDGE ERODES OR MOVES TO THE EAST.. AND THIS IS PROB THE WRONG PLACE BUT I SEE TEDDY MOVING WAY WAY WEST WITH THE RIDGE THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THERE AS WELL
AND NOT MUCH AS FAR AS SHEAR GOES THAT SHOULD HINDER HER FOR THE TIME BEING
accu35
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Once shes comes west little more than game on
MAYBE TRYING TO MOVE THE LLC BASED ON CURRENT IR SAT IMAGES. LOTS OF ON CONVECTION FIRING OFF TO THE WEST SIDE
TOPS FIRING OFF AND I BELIEVE SHE IS ABOUT TO TAKE OFF AND OPEN THAT EYE UP
GOT A RECON READING OF 983MB
GOT A RECON READING OF 983MB
Downeastnc
Member
Gonna be tough for this thing to maintain any kind of intensification sitting over the same ole area, stalled systems close to the coast in shallow waters struggle usually......
MichaelJ
Member
Looks to me still that a 980mb pressure and 80-85mph winds are likely at landfall. The shear in the upper levels will keep any intensification to a minimum now
IR is actually rapidly improving, but that phrase is starting to sound like a tinkling cymbal.
Yeah you can see some shear impinging on the W/SW side of system plus I know NHC says it's moving 2 mph, which really isn't moving lol, but I'm not sure it hasn't completely stalled. Anyway I'd lean towards the Euro right now, stalling, crawling weaker system but with massive qpf
Z
Zander98al
Guest
My parents in gulf shores said the wind is shaking there beach house. And waves are "roaring"
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
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7 am
So they’ve got her at 85mph. She was up to 105mph. If she doesn’t get her butt in gear moving faster than 2mph, she will continue to lose wind speed. That won’t negate the fact of surge though. We all remember Katrina was a Cat 3, but pushed a Cat 5 surge. Sandy did the same thing to the SE side of Staten Island along Father Cappodano Drive as well as Rockaway Beach and Breezy Point in Queens. Matter of fact, Breezy Point, Queens, was where they had the fire storm break out and burn down an entire city block of single family homes. Interesting side note: the homes were mainly occupied by FDNY and NYPD employees. Single family homes for those guys that wanted to get out of the city and be close to work. If anyone wants to see the damage from Sandy, let me know. I have hundreds of photos I took when I was TDY with a USAR team with FEMA.
Winds down to 85! Sally won’t be remembered for wind damage, but the flooding and inland flooding, will be her biggest calling card!
accu35
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One thing I noticed is the dry air isn't really effecting the storm like it was last night, so the moisture field is much better this morning. Not saying it will strengthen at the last minute but is it possible for one last strengthening??