Yep you have to disconnect the wave over the NE from the energy from the southern plains and allow the ridge to build back into the mid Atlantic to force it due west or its still ots or hits the NE
Yep you have to disconnect the wave over the NE from the energy from the southern plains and allow the ridge to build back into the mid Atlantic to force it due west or its still ots or hits the NE
Yep...it would need a lot of work for a hit, not impossible but not something I am rooting for either. I would rather see some cool weather.Yep you have to disconnect the wave over the NE from the energy from the southern plains and allow the ridge to build back into the mid Atlantic to force it due west or its still ots or hits the NE
That would have to be the camp to watch to see if more members start to join that line of thinking. I like to say we have to get the ball on the court and those further SW members are a step to getting that ball on the courtObviously most of the EPS members are OTS but did notice a small clustering of members that are slowing it down now with less pronounced northward turn (at least a slower turn anyway)
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Its going too fast again but lets see what midnight shows. Meanwhile i will post how the gfs may give us Gloria part 2 in the tropical threadReally digs in past hour 138 should be a clean recurve with none of that turn back to the NW
If it were to hit land NC north it would be considerably weaker than its peak strengthAlthough all bets are still on the table, it appears Lee will stay offshore for now. No matter how much someone likes chasing storms or exciting weather, the NHS thinks Lee is one storm that any rational person wants no part of.
How so?Definitely a split now on the ensembles
12z was clustered offshore recurving. 18 splits into 2 camps with a hot or 2 on the southeast coast later in the run.How so?
Starting to see a western cluster similar to the 12z eps?
lets see if it is a trendStarting to see a western cluster similar to the 12z eps?
That ball is getting closer to the court......just isn't there yet
It's definitely getting the islands back in playThat ball is getting closer to the court......just isn't there yet
Definite shift south on a lot of those.
I was just about to say… this should be at full strength by then and it wouldn’t take much of shift south from those to at least give them a glancing blow. I did notice earlier that Webb isn’t convinced yet this is definitely OTS yet.It's definitely getting the islands back in play
?
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Apparently not supported by eps but something to keep an eye on I guess
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So much for JBs quiet period06gfs a little more west and it brings gloria part2 alot more west than 0z