lexxnchloe
Member
May make it back to a cat 5 north of PR but will weaken after that.
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Tropical Hurricane Lee
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Snow_chaser
Member
Looking on tropical tidbits IR satellite loop, what does the pink represent near the center where the eye is now clouded over? On the loop, it was there briefly.
I think shear is throwing it off balance.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
That shear is really shredding this storm apart and I'm not sure how it's still a cat 4 despite looking like a 2
Tornadocane
Member
It's not. We're just waiting for Recon to correct the incorrect designation by the NHC Office.
Downeastnc
Member
Looking kinda rough at the moment....seems like the shear is having more impact than the models anticipated.
Snow_chaser
Member
Guess that goes to show models are great tools but ya just have to wait and see. They didn’t expect the rapid blowup last night and the deterioration today.
Downeastnc
Member
Pressure up to around mid 950's it appears....
lexxnchloe
Member
Will be interesting to see if it weakens to 980-985 will it effect the track.
Tornadocane
Member
Yeah. The models weren't bonkers enough to depict such a large swing in intensity in a mere 42 hours. From TS to Category 5 to Category 2. Then there's the matter of the COC moving due west if not a smidge N of W. The Freaking Steering Pattern is changed.
Layer Mean Wind - West Atlantic - Steering Layer 700-850mb - Latest Available
tropic.ssec.wisc.edu
They rarely do when it’s a double whammy of shear and then dry air into the core.
Henry2326
Member
Let's see if UK crosses 70w in next forecast.
NCHighCountryWX
Member
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Brent
Member
Down to 120 mph on BT. Yeesh.
Can't believe we were talking about historic last night
Just goes to show that even though track forecasts have gotten a lot better intensity leaves a lot to be desired
Can't believe we were talking about historic last night
Just goes to show that even though track forecasts have gotten a lot better intensity leaves a lot to be desired
Snow_chaser
Member
On the IR loop, the west side looks alittle better. Looks more rounded and darker colors mixing in. ??
Takes more than "bath water"
Henry2326
Member
UK crosses 70w....
Downeastnc
Member
966 last fix...up 10 mb since the recon got out there,
