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Tropical Hurricane Idalia

...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 84.5W
ABOUT 100 MI...175 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES
 
Recon data shows how lopsided the storm is, N and NW side pretty compact but the east side is where the crazy stuff is.

Screenshot_20230830_020732_Chrome.jpg
 
4:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 30
Location: 28.9°N 84.1°W
Moving: NNE at 17 mph
Min pressure: 941 mb
Max sustained: 125 mph
 
Last few frames showing warming tops right on the SE side of the center, dry air or beginnings of a ERC maybe...wonder if we get another pass before the current recon leaves....

Screenshot_20230830_044229_Chrome.jpg
 
Category 4
5:00 AM EDT Wed Aug 30
Location: 29.1°N 84.1°W
Moving: NNE at 18 mph
Min pressure: 940 mb
Max sustained: 130 mph

032734_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


 
BHS1975 said:
Nah that's dry air. Huge gap in precip in eastern quad. That's a given with all the dry air around to the west.


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To late to really change much but would be surprised if it got stronger at this point.

Also looked like a decent due north motion there as the heaviest banding moved to the west side of the center.
 
Bham 99 said:
I don't think it's too late.
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Sis is on way to Vald and not happy bout radar. Asking is it even safe to drive but going anyway. Lord! Mom still doesn't want to go and worried bout leaving her car. Really? Unreasonable. We shall hope for the best. Hurricane warning on the TWC did lower wind gusts from 125 to 110. Just for the fact of power outages alone is reason to not sit there. Was it Matthew when Albany was so bad a few years ago and look how far inland that is. My sis said she should have evacuated then and couldn't believe how bad it was. Probably going to be rough in Vald and now because it was just 30 to 40 with gusts to 75 until late last night, not a whole lot of time to wrap their heads around this all. Thanks
 
I'm not saying there won't be bad winds inland but you going to have to be eyewall to see it, right now places like Perry FL are gusting to maybe 40 and they are only 60 miles from the center. The wind field with gust into high end tropical or cane strength is very small...so it's going to take being inside the decaying eyewall to really get big wind and that's going to be a fairly small area.
 
There are a ton of RV parks and campgrounds right where the eye is coming in.

Perry Airport at 6:15 was 22 gusting to 33 only 40 miles from the center...in the NE quad no less, I imagine it's gonna go downhill quickly.
 
Downeastnc said:
There are a ton of RV parks and campgrounds right where the eye is coming in.

Perry Airport at 6:15 was 22 gusting to 33 only 40 miles from the center...in the NE quad no less, I imagine it's gonna go downhill quickly.
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Got relatives with Campers year round on a parcel of owned land down there. They've all pulled em out. Thats Low. Low ground in that area, why you've never seen it get really developed.
 
thankfully ewrc happening for those in the direct hit zone.
 
Tornado warning Screven, GA..gonna be a busy day. And another just went up in SE GA
 
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Shawn said:
thankfully ewrc happening for those in the direct hit zone.
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Definitely well timed… unfortunately for inland impacts this will increase the wind field and bring higher gusts over a wider area
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE IDALIA MAKES LANDFALL
IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...745 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicate that the eye of Idalia made
landfall along the coast of the Florida Big Bend near Keaton Beach
around 745 AM EDT (1145 UTC). Data from an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Idalia's maximum sustained
winds were near 125 mph (205 km/h). The latest minimum pressure
central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is 949 mb (28.02
inches).

Within the past hour, a C-MAN station at Keaton Beach, Florida,
measured sustained winds of 61 mph (98 km/h), with a gust to 77 mph
(124 km/h). A Florida Coastal Monitoring Program tower located
southwest of Hampton Springs, Florida, recently reported a wind gust
of 68 mph (109 km/h).

Water levels along the coast of the Florida Big Bend are rising
rapidly. A NOAA National Ocean Service tide gauge at Cedar Key,
Florida, recently reported a water level of 5.9 feet above mean
higher high water, which is an approximation of inundation in that
area.

SUMMARY OF 745 AM EDT...1145 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 83.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM S OF PERRY FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.02 INCHES

$$
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Looks like the eye is on land now… just south of Perry, FL…
 
Perry Airport was sustained 49 gusting to 71 last update at 7:55 kinda thought they would be higher than that being in the eyewall, though it was 30 mins ago now


Screenshot_20230830_082140_RadarScope.jpg
 
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