• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Ida

See it time and time again with poleward tugging, battlegrounds when Ida is in blowup mode how the cyclone is tugged slightly right. When we had a phase overnight, where it was "repairing" itself so to speak, it seemed to turn a bit left (315-320 degrees NW)..

But overall, Ida has been consistently on the right edge of the consensus. This could put New Orleans directly on the eyewall or eye itself if these trends continue.
 
Stormsfury said:
See it time and time again with poleward tugging, battlegrounds when Ida is in blowup mode how the cyclone is tugged slightly right. When we had a phase overnight, where it was "repairing" itself so to speak, it seemed to turn a bit left (315-320 degrees NW)..

But overall, Ida has been consistently on the right edge of the consensus. This could put New Orleans directly on the eyewall or eye itself if these trends continue.
Click to expand...
Btw, don't look at the steering currents if this can get to the 940's range. Lol. If so, they are def east of central LA
 
Looks like another area of disturbed weather may develop later this week in the same portion of the Caribbean where Ida developed late last week. Genesis also looks similar to Ida w/ monsoon trough, tropical wave, upper low over the Bahamas, and Kelvin Wave all interacting to potentially yield development in the western Caribbean. Environment is there as is some model support. Not quite as confident (yet) in this one as I was w/ pre-Ida, but it's going to have much better timing w/ the Kelvin Wave (most TCs form about 2 days after passage). Here's a mini-thread I made on it. Hopefully, this one stays down near Central America...

 
deltadog03 said:
Btw, don't look at the steering currents if this can get to the 940's range. Lol. If so, they are def east of central LA
Click to expand...

Well, I'm a bit anxious to see what next RECON will find. Apparently, I'm seeing mesovorticity action in the eye.. plus with the last convective blowup on the inner northern eye, you could actually see anvil blowoff forced down into the eye itself on that visible closeup someone posted.

The 976mb was an estimate at 2pm. I think we should see next RECON find sub 970mb. Realistically, a 25mb fall is quite probable considering Ida's remarked improved look.
 
CDO still swirling. Need it to ring out for RI.
 
So I finally got back from a honey-do mission. I can't help but notice as others have pointed out that the storm has been riding the eastern edge of guidance the past few hours. Not to mention a rather substantial shift east on the EURO. New Orleans/Metairie may just find itself in the NE eyewall after all.
850mB winds. Not surface! But still. That eastward adjustment is concerning.
1630179882962.png
 
Webberweather53 said:
Boy, it sure would be nice to have contraflo... oh wait.

View attachment 89511
Click to expand...

I brought her name up to my friend in Baton Rouge, and he started laughing. Apparently, Cantrell had been advocating for a monument to herself in the City, and thinks the only reason she doesn't have one is cause she is black and a woman, even though the city is made up of a majority of black citizens that voted for a female mayor. Oh by the way... She's only been there for 2 years and half the city hates her. She also doesn't seem to realize that it's poor edicate for politicians to be given monuments during their time in office. She constantly plays political games.

When you live in a city is constantly under threat by hurricanes that could wipe out the lives and property of your friends and family, you vote for the civil engineer or the emergency manager. You don't vote for the candidate running as the first female mayor, unless she has a degree in civil engineering or experience as an emergency manager. You'd think that the people who experienced a humanitarian crisis like Katrina would elect someone that was qualified to handle such incidents.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Yeah honestly looks like the bands have wrapped around her nicely through the afternoon .. it’s coughed out that dry air almost fully now and right in time for a big ole pocket of very warm water … by evening time we will be looking at a major hurricane
Click to expand...

Yeah it seems like they usually bomb at night so I don't think the window is closed yet for sure. The loop current is still ahead of it
 
1dda6c9ed6c27c06854733fe782867fd79dbf1e9850198677b3981bc1298c901.gif
Eye is trying to clear. It would take a good clip west to get back on track. TWC is concern for New Orleans or little east of there if this continues.
 
As I mentioned two days ago, I had a feeling the high would weaken enough to allow this to be a problem from NO to Mobile. While it may go through Eastern or central Tn, the bulk of the heavy rain and flooding will be to the east of the low passage, not the west. Therefore people in the NC/Ga mountains need to keep a sharp lookout for flooding rains if this takes a sharper NE turn after landfall than expected
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
So I finally got back from a honey-do mission. I can't help but notice as others have pointed out that the storm has been riding the eastern edge of guidance the past few hours. Not to mention a rather substantial shift east on the EURO. New Orleans/Metairie may just find itself in the NE eyewall after all.
850mB winds. Not surface! But still. That eastward adjustment is concerning.
View attachment 89518
Click to expand...
Luckily thats alot weaker than Betsy.
 
DadOfJax said:
?

this is still right on track to be just west of NOLA
Click to expand...
I agree. While it does look like it will be east of the 11am track, the eye should still come in just west of New Orleans. Unfortunately it looks like a greater possibility that the city may at least get clipped by the eye wall.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top