Yep if it is it jumped a good bit W, hot towers NE of that are near the center. IR can play tricks on the eyesNope just a area of warmer cloud tops
Yep if it is it jumped a good bit W, hot towers NE of that are near the center. IR can play tricks on the eyesNope just a area of warmer cloud tops
First pass through the NE quad confirms that Ida is still a hurricane. FL winds at 700mb around 75 kt supports ~65-70 kt cat 1.
If it comples an EWRC tonight, is there enough time that it will do again closer to landfall?New microwave pass looks somewhat favorable for Ida to kickstart an eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC) with spiral banding wrapping more than halfway around the small, young eyewall. Curious if we'll see it meld together, dissipate, or be a long arduous struggle as is more often the case w/ much stronger major hurricanes that encounter land interaction like this.
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and that might be true for sure. The center might migrate more toward that deepest convection SW side for sure.Recon found lowest pressures over 84W and 23N, so I think you may be bit too far NE with your pimple. It's on the extreme east side of solutions, but I don't think it's outside the wet spaghetti.
Also, I don't think they actually got to the true COC. On Tropical Tidbits, the image of the HH pass suggests that they couldn't reach the lowest pressures, because they were not able to fly any closer to Cuba. The HH site suggests lowest pressure was further S and W of tropical tidbits.
and that might be true for sure. The center might migrate more toward that deepest convection SW side for sure.
oh hell I get plenty of things wrong...tag or no tag...hahahHey... I know you're a Met and I know I get a lot wrong, but I'm just extremely confident about this being closer to Cuba. They literally had to stop and change courses as they were nearing the lowest pressures by the Cuban Coast, and that 991-993Mb data has SE to N and NE winds of 30-35 MPH. I think next pass it will be off the coast.
I don't know why no one is posting the Cuban Radar. It's probably the best resource to detect the COC. Wouldn't that settle things?
Well dang!! 0z coming east
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Well dang!! 0z coming east
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0Z NAM run coming in a good bit E/NEWell dang!! 0z coming east
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Well dang!! 0z coming east
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Well dang!! 0z coming east
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The ridge is always underestimated. ALWAYS. The major east shift into Alabama/Florida panhandle you guys are dying to see will likely never occur or verify. I am 85% confident that this will be an LA land falling storm.
0Z NAM run coming in a good bit E/NE
There’s members on here that have been advocating/hoping for an eastern shift in the guidance. I truly don’t mind wishcasting but when it comes to life threatening Hurricanes and catastrophic events, it ends up causing confusion and quite frankly clogs the thread of valuable credible information.Explain “dying to see”
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If I had a dollar everytime I heard you say "EAST" I have about a $1,000 bucks right now. Lol???Well dang!! 0z coming east
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There’s members on here that have been advocating/hoping for an eastern shift in the guidance. I truly don’t mind wishcasting but when it comes to life threatening Hurricanes and catastrophic events, it ends up causing confusion and quite frankly clogs the thread of valuable credible information.
Because it's all we got for another hour or so lol.Why do people even look at the NAM lol
Hell I’m probably the king of wishcasting, but now is truly not the time. I respect and value all opinions on this forum, but in this moment we only need credible and factual information.It happens year round. Winter is hands down the worst
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oh hell I get plenty of things wrong...tag or no tag...hahah
There’s members on here that have been advocating/hoping for an eastern shift in the guidance. I truly don’t mind wishcasting but when it comes to life threatening Hurricanes and catastrophic events, it ends up causing confusion and quite frankly clogs the thread of valuable credible information.
Good seeing you storm5It happens year round. Winter is hands down the worst
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Finally corrected. May not be done yet either.Which is pointless seeing how it was going to Texas earlier this am
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I can't speak for the Carolina crew, but further east means SE Louisiana hit to me.If I had a dollar everytime I heard you say "EAST" I have about a $1,000 bucks right now. Lol???