Brent
Member
Of course it’s gonna turn NE and hit TN and WNC. SmhReally good agreement now View attachment 89260
That's what I said yesterdayHard right turn makes me take a more eastern track. I’d guess around NO to the MS coast.
View attachment 89266
You can start to make out a center
The Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Sabine Pass to the
Alabama/Florida border including Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake
Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Cameron, Louisiana eastward
to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including Lake Pontchartrain,
Lake Maurepas, and metropolitan New Orleans.
"It is also
worth noting that even though the global models are not particularly
accurate in predicting tropical cyclone winds, the GFS and ECMWF
show the minimum pressure falling more than 35 mb from the current
conditions. Based on all of this information, there is
higher-than-normal confidence that a significant hurricane will be
approaching the Gulf coast late in the weekend."
I agree...I figured once that low "re-centered" itself and shear would relax then yes....time for take off. I would imagine that recon will find a different storm tomorrow morning than today.Shear starting to relax as well with the anticyclone building on top.
Yeah that storm is probably stronger than 40mph now.Really starting to popView attachment 89275