I am in the camp that this might be a little slower to take off in the next 24 hours. There is some stout SW shear effecting it right now. Once clears Cuba could be off to the races for sure.
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Tropical Hurricane Ida
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
BHS1975
Member
Hurricane Camille. everyone should take this serious since we all know the story of what happened to Virginia well inland from landfall.
You could make a reasonably strong case for a high end system here but let's pump the brakes before talking about something unheard of.
BHS1975
Member
iGRXY
Member
This definitely has category 5 and sub 940 mb written all over it. If these models and the NHC are already showing what they're showing that is bad news. I've said it once and I will say it again, these things are always over performing once they hit the gulf. Especially when they're approaching land, they're almost at their peak and best looking the last few years. And if that ridge is even remotely further east than modeled, you can bet Everywhere from NO to the panhandle of Florida will be the strike zone.
Not gonna lie, the upper level environment both shear and moisture wise is about as perfect as you can get on the GFS close to landfall.
BHS1975
Member
Looks moist.
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B
Brick Tamland
Guest
And we have seen canes take off in a hurry the last few years.
BHS1975
Member
Toasty
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Z
Zander98al
Guest
Can a thread go ahead and be made for inland effects cause it's going to get crowded here soon
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Already made.
BHS1975
Member
Yeah Micheal had some shear and dry air to fend off. This will have none of those.
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Thor
Member
Just Driving home the point about New Orleans and the dangers of living there. Below is a Fema Flood Map of Wilmington Nc. The Zones AE in blue are areas you can expect to Flood in a 100 year event(which happen more frequently than 100 years)
Sure there would probably be more flooding but these are the areas of regulated construction.
Below is New Orleans
Sure many of these buildings are "Grandfathered" in but people just don't realize where they are living sometimes along the coast. This is what is expected to flood in a moderate event, This does not even take into account levee failures or more severe anomalous events.
Sure there would probably be more flooding but these are the areas of regulated construction.
Below is New Orleans
Sure many of these buildings are "Grandfathered" in but people just don't realize where they are living sometimes along the coast. This is what is expected to flood in a moderate event, This does not even take into account levee failures or more severe anomalous events.
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Zander98al
Guest
HSVweather
Member
Canadian is suboptimal for Nola
Here is how I see things right now......
Our heat dome hasn't budge and I don't believe it will. This has Cajun Louisiana written all over it.
Maybe a ULL trying to pop up over central Mexico?
Maybe a ULL trying to pop up over central Mexico?