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Tropical Hurricane Ida

That ridge over us is gonna be stout so it likely isn't coming much further east.

for Tennessee and the mountains of NC that have been devastated by flooding the track differences later are huge. GFs is up the west spine of the mountains and out through areas just flooded by Henri while Euro goes from Memphis to Pigeon Forge.

Major differences and will be directly driven by how this ridge over us breaks down.
That euro track reminds me of how Ivan made a gulf landfall circled the ridge and regenerated. How the trough/system interact will have big implications for our area. Climo says this gets pulled west and north of us
 
Good news a good portion of the SE will receive rain regardless of where this makes landfall .


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Nothing official just my observations of the low clouds. Could also be a MLC over to the western tip of Jamaica as well.

That loop is mesmerizing. You can see the lower level rotation occurring and a ton of convection all over. Looks like it may be starting to organize a little.
 
That loop is mesmerizing. You can see the lower level rotation occurring and a ton of convection all over. Looks like it may be starting to organize a little.

Yeah you.can clearly see the low cloud field has a solid spin starting. Exactly where that LLC is forming is a bit muddy due to so much convection. I would not be surprised to see a center reform under the deeper convection either.
 
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