Tropical Hurricane Ida

[accu35]

Seriously, you are a total drama queen......

My wife tells me that all the time lol!!

 

[accu35]

Some spin there

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

I think we know where this ends up based on the trends. Houston bound yesterday, eastern LA today. Lots of time on the clock.

 

[accu35]

I think we know where this ends up based on the trends. Houston bound yesterday, eastern LA today. Lots of time on the clock.

Only 4 days left if it hit Sunday.

 

[ForsythSnow]

I think we know where this ends up based on the trends. Houston bound yesterday, eastern LA today. Lots of time on the clock.

Realistically everywhere from the Florida Panhandle to South Texas is the range at this point but the main focus looks like Louisiana at the moment. Whether some upper patter shifts it further East or back west has yet to be seen but we don't have over a week before landfall so this will be a very short time for people to prepare.

 

[Henry2326]

I have never seen key messages for a disturbanceView attachment 89131

The symmetry in the models got their attention just like it did us.

 

[Brent]

EPS hasn't ruled anyone out

 

[Tornadocane]

Holy Shite. This is about to ignite.

 

[TheBatman]

Holy Shite. This is about to ignite.

She's trying to pop. This time tomorrow or early Friday. This will probably be a tropical storm..

 

[Brent]

Recon tomorrow afternoon may be very interesting

At the very least I'm expecting a PTC but them finding a TD or TS wouldn't surprise me

 

[Jessy89]

This one got my full attention. Told my wife earlier I felt like this would be a cat 3 or stronger. Hitting the United States somewhere between Texas and Mississippi


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Last nights 00z runs:

vs. tonight’s 00z runs:

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Brent]

GFS on SUNDAY absolutely crazy how fast this may escalate

 

[Brent]

CMC New Orleans

 

[deltadog03]

Ouch. I think if it continues to get some structure overnight we should see PTC at 5am tomorrow

 

[GaWx]

0Z GEFS 102 centered on LA:

 

[GaWx]

0Z UKMET: LA vs 12Z at TX
NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 23.2N 86.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.08.2021 60 23.2N 86.0W 1007 31
0000UTC 29.08.2021 72 25.0N 87.9W 1003 36
1200UTC 29.08.2021 84 26.7N 89.8W 999 39
0000UTC 30.08.2021 96 28.2N 91.2W 990 49
1200UTC 30.08.2021 108 29.5N 91.9W 978 60
0000UTC 31.08.2021 120 30.8N 92.1W 981 39
1200UTC 31.08.2021 132 32.5N 92.1W 983 30
0000UTC 01.09.2021 144 33.3N 91.7W 990 25

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

0Z GEFS 102 centered on LA:
View attachment 89159

Definitely looks like the spaghetti models got a hair cut … looks like US threat almost guaranteed

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Ugly round two with the storm after this one … Texas problem?