Tropical Hurricane Ian

[Tarheel1]

He lookin very raggedy on that satellite presentation! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

Looks like some dry air trying to wrap in on the S and SE side. It’s struggling. I don’t think it makes it to a 4, if something doesn’t change soon

 

[WeatherNC]

Smoked

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

IR AND WATERVAPOR STILL SHOWING A STRONG CANE WITH NO DRY AIR FROM WHAT I CAN SEE

 

[WeatherNC]

>280 GtG

 

[iGRXY]

Yeah there’s no dry air wrapping in this storm right now.

 

[Belle Lechat]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt09L.html

Time : 065020 UTC
Lat : 25:35:24 N Lon : 82:46:47 W

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.7 / 927mb / 132kts

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.7 7.2 7.2

I'm not really knowledgeable about this, how they get the pressure readings.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

FROM LATEST WATER VAPOR SAT IM SEEING A DUE NORTH TRAVEL RIGHT NOW

 

[Belle Lechat]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt09L.html

Time : 072020 UTC
Lat : 25:41:24 N Lon : 82:53:23 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.8 (+.1) / 925mb (-2) / 135kts (+3)

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.8 (+.1) 7.0 (-.2) 7.0 (-.2)

 

[Metwannabe]

Might see another eastward shift with track forecast as NHC track is on west side of guidance

 

[DustinWx]

Pressure is down

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Seeing a pressure 939.9 in dropsound but I think they chose to go with 942 officially .. still 10 mb lower from last official reading .. good lord

 

[$alt]

06z NAM with strengthening 964mb off the SC coast vs 990mb same time last run. It's probably crazy though.



Edit: 3KM NAM completely different all the way around, weak etc. Tracks into Southern GA.

 

[Chazwin]

Might see another eastward shift with track forecast as NHC track is on west side of guidance

View attachment 122374

I agree, though I will say these guidance plots seem to be fairly consistent since yesterday at 12z with obviously the normal 30-40 mile waffle back and forth from run to run. Also looking at the water vapor it appears to be a bit more on a due north heading for the last little while… could just be a wobble, but I know the latest HWRF was back to a landfall close to Tampa again

 

[Fountainguy97]

Ian is making a legit run for cat 5. If the eye can clear and these towers continue to fire he may just get there.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

141 kt flight level winds … jesus

 

[HDGator]

Ian is making a legit run for cat 5. If the eye can clear and these towers continue to fire he may just get there.

View attachment 122375View attachment 122376

140 kt FL in the northeast eyewall.
Ian has been busy the last few hours.

 

[DustinWx]

Category 4. 140 mph

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

SUSTAINED @140MPH

 

[DustinWx]

Been driving all night no sleep. No fun finally almost to Tampa