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Tropical Hurricane Ian

Cape Coral final guess, sub 940, 938ish, a major blow for central FL and will eclipse Charley in losses.
 
Probably banter, but is Josh M chasing and where will he be? The icyclone guy?
 
Tarheel1 said:
Probably banter, but is Josh M chasing and where will he be? The icyclone guy?
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He likely doesn't know himself where yet, but he is in FL. https://twitter.com/iCyclone

On a side note, I'm not feeling too great about the Icon rapidly strengthening off the ATL coast two runs in a row.. and even runs before.. Surely it's not likely. I said the same thing about the ATL solution at all though, a couple days ago.
 
Shawn said:
He likely doesn't know himself where yet, but he is in FL. https://twitter.com/iCyclone

On a side note, I'm not feeling too great about the Icon rapidly strengthening off the ATL coast two runs in a row.. and even runs before.. Surely it's not likely. I said the same thing about the ATL solution at all though, a couple days ago.
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Well, by that time it comes off into the Atlantic, the storm is going to unravel quite a bit and have a northern half and not much on the south side.
Highly doubt that Ian will be able to restrengthen substantially. Simulated IR satellite resembles a transitioning to post tropical/extratropical with dry air and shear infiltrating on the southern scope of Ian in the Atlantic
 
For a plot twist the HWRF is back to hitting Tampa again... So yeah nothing is set in stone yet as far as what happens even tomorrow which plays a huge role in anything east of Florida(though I do agree it'll probably be hard to restrengthen even if it gets a chance to) shear is gonna be relentless(remember the north of Tampa solutions a few days ago had it basically as a naked swirl)
 
Brent said:
For a plot twist the HWRF is back to hitting Tampa again... So yeah nothing is set in stone yet as far as what happens even tomorrow which plays a huge role in anything east of Florida(though I do agree it'll probably be hard to restrengthen even if it gets a chance to) shear is gonna be relentless(remember the north of Tampa solutions a few days ago had it basically as a naked swirl)
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he will have to move due north from here to get tampa.
 
Brent said:
For a plot twist the HWRF is back to hitting Tampa again... So yeah nothing is set in stone yet as far as what happens even tomorrow which plays a huge role in anything east of Florida(though I do agree it'll probably be hard to restrengthen even if it gets a chance to) shear is gonna be relentless(remember the north of Tampa solutions a few days ago had it basically as a naked swirl)
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The HRRR has it heading towards Tampa for a bit then making a turn east.


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Oddly enough the first NHC cone had a M right about where he is right now. It wasn't until a day or two in that they shifted to the big bend area.
 
Stormsfury said:
Well, by that time it comes off into the Atlantic, the storm is going to unravel quite a bit and have a northern half and not much on the south side.
Highly doubt that Ian will be able to restrengthen substantially. Simulated IR satellite resembles a transitioning to post tropical/extratropical with dry air and shear infiltrating on the southern scope of Ian in the Atlantic
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With the high over NE it will be interesting to see just what kind of wind field the storm has on the north side....the NAM has stout 925 winds of 50-75 knts a few thousand feet up....
 

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