It has been moving very slowly east. There have definitely been some beneficial rains for eastern Alabama and far northwestern Georgia. It has been partly cloudy here all morning, temps have surpassed 80 in many locations already.
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Tropical Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
SnowwxAtl
Member
Why you say that.. it seems like it is on par and on schedule
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
12Z GFS has a 977 sitting over Dollywood. Mercy
12z GFS has Downtown Greenville NE42G72 at 5AM Friday.
iGRXY
Member
GFS has me peaking at 40 mph sustained with guts over 70mph so nearly Hurricane force. Doubt it gets that bad. I'm still expecting winds of 20-30mph with gusts in that 40-50mph range.
TerryInTucker
Member
Moderate rain now in Tucker, GA.
TerryInTucker
Member
There was a little bubble of rain before that big line. It's slacking off now.
High risk of excessive rainfall on both day 1 and day 2 for the higher elevations.
tractor girl
Member
How do the hurricane models (HWRF, HMON, HAFS-A, HAFS-B) handle systems once they are on land?
Georgiapeach
Member
Ugh, Georgia, the irony!!!
I’m on this forum from December to March following all the genius weather experts here, holding my breath for another March,1992 snow storm…
Tropical storm watch, really?!?
I’m on this forum from December to March following all the genius weather experts here, holding my breath for another March,1992 snow storm…
Tropical storm watch, really?!?
JimRussell
Member
looks like she is taking in a lot of dry air at the moment
agreed, mixing some things out
newest recon pass pretty underwhelming
i'm surprised this has been an issue but so far the eyewall is broad and open and that leaves a storm vulnerable to dry air injections like this
Georgiapeach
Member
Does that mean it’s weakening or falling apart?
tractor girl
Member
Formation stage still, probably will see cloud temps continue to warm before convection actually erupts in the forming eyewall and begins to band around the center.
Brent
Member
It needs to get away from the Yucatan to do much I think
iGRXY
Member
UK
severestorm
Member
Looks like still a touch of southernly shear as well.
Unfortunately not weakening or falling apart but could delay intensification