Tropical Hurricane Helene

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Looks like the track has shifted a good 20 miles west or so.

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Based on ?

Climo and that is a blend of modeling that the NWS uses which is usually pretty good

 

[Sctvman]

NAM calling for hurricane force wind gusts as far N as KNOXVILLE

 

[jrips27]

Man it's only getting worse

 

[ForsythSnow]

Climo and that is a blend of modeling that the NWS uses which is usually pretty good

This storm is not climo. As mentioned by many mets, this is likely going to be far different inland.

 

[Henry2326]

12z ICON landfall at 940 and goes EAST track.
Pressure aligned with HWRF and HMON.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Man it's only getting worse
View attachment 151774

So i went from 40% to about 90%. Shitballs. Be safe boys and Dewy

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

So i went from 40% to about 90%. Shitballs. Be safe boys and Dewy

I'm at 90% too.

 

[Ethan80963]

This model has been very consistent keeping it so far east for days.

 

[Snowfan]

The NHC has Helene as a 60 mph TS in N GA at 12z on Friday

 

[Snow_chaser]

Looks like the track has shifted a good 20 miles west or so.

Yea, looking at the new cone, the very eastern edge of the cone looks like it now goes right up through the middle of Georgia

 

[WXinCanton]

Latest from NHC

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

The NHC has Helene as a 60 mph TS in N GA.

So I imagine gusts would be much higher.

 

[weatherfide]

So i went from 40% to about 90%. Shitballs. Be safe boys and Dewy

Are you in south Georgia? I'm in 70% area just south of Atlanta.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I just got an alert on my phone saying i'm under a Hurricane Warning.

 

[accu35]

This model has been very consistent keeping it so far east for days.

I’m sorry, but that looks to far east to me.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

I definitely would question the intensity but we are dealing with a unique situation and I'd rather take the precedence of Irma and how that interacted with the upper level features than with previous storms that were isolated inland racers. The pressure being so low too will enhance the winds.

Even if these wind gust projections are overdone, it's gonna be quite noisy due to the pressure gradients

I'm really interested to see what inland areas are going to see the biggest impact. I'm in the Holly Springs area, kind of on the edge of the foothills. On the other hand, my family will be visiting Sapphire NC tomorrow thru Sunday. I can imagine it'll be quite breezy being on the Escarpment. But that pressure battle zone as the storm gets eaten by the ULL will be really interesting to observe.

 

[weatherfide]

Yea, looking at the new cone, the very eastern edge of the cone looks like it now goes right up through the middle of Georgia

I need the east side of guidance to verify. I'm hoping the Icon is right this time. I may need to take down my neighbor's dead pine tree that sits east of my house, tonight or tomorrow.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Tropical Storm Watch just issued for Atl metro/N Ga

WWA Summary by Location for 33.75N 84.39W with GAZ033/GAC121/GAZ033 emphasis Tropical Storm Watch

forecast.weather.gov

 

[SASQUATCH]

This model has been very consistent keeping it so far east for days.

Kinda resembles the ICON track