Tropical Hurricane Francine

[jrips27]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Mike's Weather Page | Oldsmar FL

Mike's Weather Page, Oldsmar. 2,232,958 likes · 54,654 talking about this · 762 were here. MWP was born in 2004. Posting about the Tropics, Weather, & more. www.spaghettimodels.com

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Reporting from where the eye is coming ashore.

His location

 

[jrips27]

 

[Oconeexman]

Why would there be more rain in GA than MS ? GA is going to be well east of the center.

From what I see most of eastern georgia and the Carolinas rain comes from the early week system/depression on Monday and Tuesday

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Few purple pixels (110 - 115 mph) starting to pop

 

[jrips27]

Thinking we probably see an upgrade to category 2 here in a few minutes

 

[jrips27]

 

[Belle Lechat]

4:00 PM CDT Wed Sep 11
Location: 29.2°N 91.5°W
Moving: NE at 17 mph
Min pressure: 972 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I thought Francine was supposed to weaken right before landfall ?

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[J.C.]

NAM12km is pretty dry for Georgia.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I'm surprised they didn't upgrade N.O. to a hurricane warning given the movement and increased intensity. Dang NE eyewall consolidated at a bad time.

 

[WXinCanton]

NAM12km is pretty dry for Georgia.

View attachment 150971

Hopefully wrong. But will probably verify knowing our luck

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[jrips27]

NAM12km is pretty dry for Georgia.

Meanwhile the EPS mean is 4-5 inches lol

 

[J.C.]

Meanwhile the EPS mean is 4-5 inches lolView attachment 150972

We will see, hopefully we get something significant or we will be in one of the driest periods in many years.

 

[Carolina Jones]

I thought Francine was supposed to weaken right before landfall ?

That last few years they have been strengthening up to landfall more often than not.

 

[snowc]

From what I see most of eastern georgia and the Carolinas rain comes from the early week system/depression on Monday and Tuesday

A florence possible...

 

[Brent]

Francine has made landfall in southern Louisiana in the Parish of
Terrebonne, about 30 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, as a
Category 2 hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be
near 100 mph (155 km/h).

 

[Belle Lechat]

221800 2900N 09102W 6938 03039 9788 +172 +074 246100 105 059 001 00
221830 2900N 09059W 6950 03030 9812 +157 +074 240103 105 058 000 00
221900 2900N 09056W 6943 03042 9837 +139 +074 238106 106 058 001 00
221930 2900N 09053W 6978 02998 9835 +144 +068 239102 105 062 000 00

Flight level. 106 kts=122 mph

 

[NoSnowATL]

I thought Francine was supposed to weaken right before landfall ?

Magic dust or more like fat fingers

 

[Belle Lechat]

Screenshot so it won't update.

 

[Belle Lechat]

3 second movie showing beeline, development https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/movies/odthtml5_06L.html

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Screenshot so it won't update.

View attachment 150974

It’s impressive how far east of the center that it’s raining, like in Georgia for instance.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Mike of Mike's Weather Page appears unable to broadcast the past 45 min.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Another position update will be provided at 800 PM CDT (0100 UTC)
after the issuance of the intermediate public advisory.

SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 91.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

A hat tip to the ICON model which was the first to show both the evolution of Francine as well as the track into SE Louisiana. An honorable mention goes to the HWRF which had the storm going right over Lake Ponchartrain from 24 hours out. Both were spot on with intensity too.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Mike of spaghettimodels.com is back Live and is on the road, encountering trees in it. He drove over or around some but finally had to turn back. He said power lines were down, and that he drove over a couple.

 

[Belle Lechat]

7:00 PM CDT Wed Sep 11
Location: 29.6°N 90.9°W
Moving: NE at 17 mph
Min pressure: 978 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

It’s impressive how far east of the center that it’s raining, like in Georgia for instance.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[SnowwxAtl]

It is a tropical storm now...weakening very fast!

 

[BufordWX]

00z Euro is showing a crazy amount of rainfall around Atlanta.

 

[jrips27]

00z Euro is showing a crazy amount of rainfall around Atlanta.View attachment 150983

I’m very skeptical, but hard to describe what 15+ inches of rain would do to downtown Atlanta

 

[DustinWx]

I’m very skeptical, but hard to describe what 15+ inches of rain would do to downtown Atlanta

2009