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Tropical Hurricane Ernesto

Belle Lechat said:
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It sure does have the look....hope NHC is right that it won't make it to a major.
 
11:00 PM AST Thu Aug 15
Location: 27.1°N 68.1°W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

Newfoundland is in the left half of the cone now, forecast with a quickly passing hurricane, relative to Bermuda, map higher in page.
 
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Belle Lechat said:
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This is a large storm capable of bringing Bermuda flash flooding due to the combo of it being large, it expected to be slow moving nearby, and probably high PWATs due to (near) record high nearby SSTs.

From 11PM NHC: check out this expected rainfall, which would likely be one of their heaviest in history:

RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 6 to 12 inches on Bermuda with isolated maximum amounts up to 15
inches. This rainfall may result in considerable life-threatening
flash flooding.
 
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2:00 AM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 27.6°N 67.5°W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph
 
5:00 AM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 28.1°N 67.0°W
Moving: NNE at 13 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

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8:00 AM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 28.9°N 66.5°W
Moving: NNE at 13 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

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Ernesto sure doesnt look like a cat2. Something is just off in the ATL. Debby was on the struggle bus all the way across and only managed to be a minimal cat1 because of land interaction. Now, Ernesto is struggling in an area that should have been very favorable. Instead its getting hit with dry air and shear

 
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8:00 PM AST Fri Aug 16
Location: 31.0°N 65.2°W
Moving: NE at 13 mph
Min pressure: 969 mb
Max sustained: 100 mph

Scroll up for updated NHC and other imagery.
 
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You ever get on telegram. Follow volcanoes,Earthquakes and More link. See amazing stuff as it happens. That Fire in Turkey now is worse than one in Hawaii, tearing through a metro area. Lots of flash flood,Hail videis etc from around the world.
The erosion pic above on outer banks from this hurricane,came off telegram.
 
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