Decent westward extend of the rain shield, seems like you nailed that.... sure looks like going to be some good totals in Cen NCman its pouring here at work
Decent westward extend of the rain shield, seems like you nailed that.... sure looks like going to be some good totals in Cen NCman its pouring here at work
Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
400 PM EDT Thu Sep 05 2019
...DORIAN PRODUCING DANGEROUS WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND FLOODING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINA...
NOAA buoy 41004 recently measured sustained winds of 67 mph (108
km/h) and a gust to 83 mph (133 km/h) in the southern eyewall of
Dorian.
The Weatherflow site in Winyah Bay, SC, recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust of 65 mph (105
km/h) at a height of 50 ft.
A wind gust of 55 mph (89 km/h) was recently reported at a
Weatherflow site in Georgetown, SC, and a gust of 52 mph (84 km/h)
recently reported by a Weatherflow site at Murrells Inlet, SC.
SUMMARY OF 400 PM EDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 78.6W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Brennan
KLTX really overshooting the center, wonder if this is intentional.
No kidding going to need a hard rightYeah was noticing that, if it does not get a more easterly component to its track soon its going to landfall Cape Fear in a few hrs
Got to be closing in on 2" at the house.Wind is starting to kick up pretty good here. That tornado warned cell near Smithfield looks like its headed my way
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I'll dead on the RAX radar estimate at 1.15. .7 more and its the biggest event all summerGot to be closing in on 2" at the house.
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 78.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
KLTX really overshooting the center, wonder if this is intentional.
The current tornado watch in NC expires at 7:00 pm. Wonder if they will issue another one or extend it. Still have a ways to go before Dorian gets past NC.
Mesoscale Discussion 1932
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2019
Areas affected...Eastern NC
Concerning...Tornado Watch 636...
Valid 052045Z - 052245Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 636 continues.
SUMMARY...Greatest tornado threat is expected to gradually shift
north across ww636.
DISCUSSION...Latest satellite/radar imagery suggests Dorian has
shifted a bit east as it advances along the Carolina Coast. Since
early this morning, the most notable convection has been occurring
within the northeast quad of the cyclone, roughly 100 mi from
Dorian's center. Lightning is noted within the band as it lifts
north, well ahead of the circulation's center. Isolated supercells
continue to form along a corridor, arcing from Sampson County NC -
Onslow County - 32.97N/75.70W, off the NC Coast. This activity
should gradually move north across the remainder of ww636,
continuing well beyond 23z expiration. For these reasons a new
tornado watch will likely be warranted later this evening.
WCTI live with damage in downtown New Bern from tornado nothing to bad though
No kidding the clouds are moving. Radar has 45 mph over the house at 1000 ft with this next band of heavy rain with some convective elements may get a few gusts in the 30s to near 40 hereShear is insane. Just had a higher sky briefly and mid layer of clouds were moving from ese to wnw and low clouds were screaming from ene to wsw.
That's a lot of east movement recently. The area from oak island over to carolina beach is going to be awfully close to that thick area of yellow and red on radar to the west of the system
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Yeah was noticing that, if it does not get a more easterly component to its track soon its going to landfall Cape Fear in a few hrs
No kidding going to need a hard right
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At that heading it's going to be a mess for the entire coastI think it still skirts Cape Lookout and prob makes official LF on the OBX but it has certainly turned NE. Although looks more north than NE on last couple of radar frames, also really building west, those communities about to take a big hit
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No kidding the clouds are moving. Radar has 45 mph over the house at 1000 ft with this next band of heavy rain with some convective elements may get a few gusts in the 30s to near 40 here
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Still moving with too much of a northerly component.Not going to miss Cape Fear by much and this heading will drag the left side all the way up the south beaches and hit MHX dead on...or even a bit to the west....
View attachment 23235