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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Could this thing bring a storm surge to Charleston bigger then what Hugo brought?


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Normal caveats to the Euro wind forecast, I get it but the 18z gets 40 mph gust back to the Triad. You can tell it's interacting with the trough and expanding the wind field as it approaches the NC coast.

And dang look at those gust along the Ga coast too

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Is the storm actually moving NW right now or is it more N? How's it moving in relation to the 18Z Euro and other models?
 
Could this thing bring a storm surge to Charleston bigger then what Hugo brought?


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Last projection I saw for Charleston was about 10.5 feet which another poster said would be the second highest surge, although Hugo would still have it beat by a good bit.

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Dancing precariously close to the Fl coast
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Little slower and nice westward expansion of the rain shield
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925MB winds on the NAM are 80-90 mph at 1800-2400 ft over most of eastern NC and 50-80 mph and a little higher up over the I-95 corridor, how efficiently those winds mix down will be critical....
NAMMA_925_spd_057.png

Also that track of the 3K NAM is :oops:
 
3K NAM just plows into NC almost NNE never makes the turn ENE ends up over Belhaven on the last frame I saw....this is much further NW with the track than the GFS/ICON/EURO/UKIE by a good 50-75 miles
 
I swear on satellite, it’s moving WNW!?
 
Per my eyes, if this is east of the 18Z Euro, it isn't by much. I have the 11 PM location of the 18Z Euro (hour 9) near 28.4N, 79.2W. I'm not liking this at all.
 
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