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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

HMON strengthens it to a 919 mb hurricane but thankly weakens it to a 940 mb hurricane when it makes landfall.

Don’t trust that weakening. I think the hurricane models put too much emphasis on interacting with FL causing weakening. The HWRF was doing the same thing.

That would be a crazy landfall, 919mb and 147knts. HMON shows pretty much a Andrew redux, but that model has seemed to be off its rocker most of this storm.
 
hmon_ref_05L_40.png

HMON goes through southern Florida and reemerges into the Gulf of Mexico.
 
12Z Euro really slowing down in the Bahamas. Is it even going to make it to FL? We'll know soon.
it is still moving at a good clip. that trof over the NE is gonna have to really tug quickly for it to not roll into FL
 
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