• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Dorian

CMC is a worst case scenario. Georgia and Carolinas Piedmont are in the north-east quad with tornadoes and flooding. Heavy convection. And mountains foothills start a pre-event of upslope as early as Tuesday.
 
Ethan80963! said:
I personally am looking at the models but not putting too much in them as most are initializing too weak, and seeing how bad they have been the past few days but that's my opinion.
Click to expand...

Yeah unless one model starts performing very well this storm is going to wind up catching some people way off guard due to the fluctuation.
 
Dorian is now a hurricane.
783
WTNT35 KNHC 281744
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 17A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
200 PM AST Wed Aug 28 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES A HURRICANE NEAR ST. THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
...MULTIPLE OBSERVATIONS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IN ST. THOMAS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 65.0W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM W OF ST. THOMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Watch for the Dominican Republic has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to
12 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
Click to expand...
 
SD said:
I agree with this. Once it gets near the US its going to be a stall and crawl scenario for a couple of days until its either pushed east back into the Atlantic or gets tugged NE .
Click to expand...

So, you think it makes landfall in FL, further north, or not at all?
 
FYI now a hurricane:
: ...DORIAN BECOMES A HURRICANE NEAR ST. THOMAS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS... ...MULTIPLE OBSERVATIONS OF HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS IN ST. THOMAS...

2:00 PM AST Wed Aug 28
Location: 18.3°N 65.0°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph
 
BHS1975 said:
Tidbits crashed


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
It's up for me.

And yeah the HWRF is a worst case scenario. Blows it back into a cat 3 as soon as it leaves land and would devastate Tampa Bay as well with the surge until it pulls away. By then it could possibly blow back up into a 4 with the gulf aiding it.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top