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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Recon reporting an eye

URNT12 KNHC 280516
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052019
A. 28/04:49:10Z
B. 16.27 deg N 063.34 deg W
C. 850 mb 1456 m
D. 1003 mb
E. 105 deg 18 kt
F. OPEN SW
G. E21/25/20
H. 50 kt
I. 341 deg 6 nm 04:43:00Z
J. 061 deg 48 kt
K. 331 deg 5 nm 04:43:30Z
L. 42 kt
M. 185 deg 19 nm 04:56:30Z
N. 283 deg 29 kt
O. 200 deg 7 nm 04:52:30Z
P. 21 C / 1501 m
Q. 23 C / 1520 m
R. 13 C / NA
S. 12345 / 8
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF309 0805A DORIAN OB 31
MAX FL WIND 54 KT 078 / 11 NM 04:03:00Z
 
Brent said:
Recon reporting an eye

URNT12 KNHC 280516
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052019
A. 28/04:49:10Z
B. 16.27 deg N 063.34 deg W
C. 850 mb 1456 m
D. 1003 mb
E. 105 deg 18 kt
F. OPEN SW
G. E21/25/20
H. 50 kt
I. 341 deg 6 nm 04:43:00Z
J. 061 deg 48 kt
K. 331 deg 5 nm 04:43:30Z
L. 42 kt
M. 185 deg 19 nm 04:56:30Z
N. 283 deg 29 kt
O. 200 deg 7 nm 04:52:30Z
P. 21 C / 1501 m
Q. 23 C / 1520 m
R. 13 C / NA
S. 12345 / 8
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF309 0805A DORIAN OB 31
MAX FL WIND 54 KT 078 / 11 NM 04:03:00Z
Click to expand...

First time she's had any resemblance of a eyewall feature mentioned in a vortex data message.
 
0Z Euro further ENE than 12Z and similar to 18Z at hour 72. So, likely will come in further north than 12Z Euro and even small chance for close call recurve.
 
Euro almost heading due West between hour 72 and 96.
Edit crossing the Florida peninsula heading toward the Gulf of Mexico. at 120
 
Last edited:
0Z Euro: Landfall Jupiter 114. Actually S of 12Z Euro due to more west heading near FL.
 
So it'the GFS against the world about bringing her North. How many times have we seen this before? I know where I would put my money lol. :)
 
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