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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Good Lord at the warnings between North Myrtle through Wilmington area. They are getting slammed. Every time I open radar there is a new TVS popping up.
 
New tornado watch.

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The tornados and severe storms at the coast might end up the biggest threat if Dorian stays offshore.
 
Sounds like Brunswick County got hit hard. Hearing reports of property damage and lots of trees and power lines down
 
Dorian is definitely on a more NE heading and seems to have increased in forward speed, needs to veer more east to miss the NC coast entirely though.

Its gonna wobble east then north etc....there will be a lot of people going " its turned east its gonna miss" or "its turned north it gonna hit early: post today....

Watching the 6Z 3k NAM run it almost has this move perfectly and now the center is going to jog north closer to Myrtle I bet I think the 3k NAM actually has a pretty good handle on it,
 
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Its gonna wobble east then north etc....there will be a lot of people going " its turned east its gonna miss" or "its turned north it gonna hit early: post today....
Yeah, some models even show this NE movement and then a slightly more NNE movement just before hitting the Carolina Coast.

And here is the 06z Euro, slightly east and just skirts the coast.... however, it also shows it in it's current location at around 2 pm so Dorian may be ahead of schedule at this point, imo making it more difficult to turn fast enough. We shall see

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Its gonna wobble east then north etc....there will be a lot of people going " its turned east its gonna miss" or "its turned north it gonna hit early: post today....

Watching the 6Z 3k NAM run it almost has this move perfectly and now the center is going to jog north closer to Myrtle I bet I think the 3k NAM actually has a pretty good handle on it,
In fact almost looks like a north jog atm, we know wobbles happen but when it's only 50 miles offshore a wobble in the wrong direction means everything
 
Are there plans to start a thread concerning current conditions with the storm?


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In fact almost looks like a north jog atm, we know wobbles happen but when it's only 50 miles offshore a wobble in the wrong direction means everything
It feels like I have been watching Dorians location in relation to Bald Head Island on the Models for 5 days so that is generally the path I'm keeping in mind while watching the imagery. The eye is so large in actuality and it has such a wobbly motion it's hard to get much accuracy out of watching it.
 
Keep it all in here, we're simplistic like that....

Okay. Wasn’t sure if it was done like on the big board with current observations. As a glass that needs more beer kinda guy, I am thinking not bad for me, but I will keep it updated as time goes on. Hell, I think I’m the farthest north of anyone in the Carolinas.


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Looks like it's gonna end up being close but no cigar on rain getting thrown all the way back here. Furthest west it got at least of now on this latitude was Barnwell, SC.

On a more serious note, rough morning in the Carolinas:

 
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Okay. Wasn’t sure if it was done like on the big board with current observations. As a glass that needs more beer kinda guy, I am thinking not bad for me, but I will keep it updated as time goes on. Hell, I think I’m the farthest north of anyone in the Carolinas.


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Ummm we are the big board

And see my location, think I have the northern flank covered Lol. But you are in a great spot (or bad I guess) to give some good updates tonight and tomorrow morning. Stay safe
 
Western eyewall only 40 mi from Charleston and the north eyewall less than that to McCellanvile, SC. Dang its inching close
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Ummm we are the big board

And see my location, think I have the northern flank covered Lol. But you are in a great spot (or bad I guess) to give some good updates tonight and tomorrow morning. Stay safe

I meant AmericanWx


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