Based off current IR I'd say Dorian is headed straight for McClellanville.
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Tropical Hurricane Dorian
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
A little update from the Charleston area
Now that’s a good ol “waterspooooottt”
According to the HRRR it should start heading due east any moment now, then back NE from there....keeping it offshore, let's see how that plays out
Thor
Member
It's the western wobble that has this right on the shore, I didn't see many models with that at this point
Well believe it or not the HRRR isn't that far off from it's current location, it's the sharp east turn right after I'm a little skeptical of but anything is possible
Downeastnc
Member
The key for us in inland NC will be the NW side wind maxima forming like the models show....how big it is, how ( or even if) it sets up etc...kind of like the deform bands in winter storms.....those under it will get a much different experience than those who are not.
Downeastnc
Member
No risk of river flooding IMO unless it stalls and its actually going to speed up, street flooding and such will be bad in town it always is but the bigger issue will be the winds for us here in Pitt Co.
Not very similar to Matthew. Given the dry conditions recently we can probably stand a decent amount of rain before flooding gets going.
Recon fix shows NNE movement
A sharp east turn takes it right out to sea without affecting land. What makes you think it’s going to do that?
it can't keep that up too long either.
I said the HRRR was showing that, then a NE turn to keep it offshore... my post you quoted I said "I'm skeptical of that", with that being said that vorticity lob at the base of the trough diving down into Tn could easily be the catalyst to keep it offshore.
South AL Wx
Member
This video was from earlier this morning.
"**NEW VIDEO** Our field crews were right in front of a tornado that passed through Carolina Shores this morning. There were reports of damage in this area from the storm."
"**NEW VIDEO** Our field crews were right in front of a tornado that passed through Carolina Shores this morning. There were reports of damage in this area from the storm."
Looks like it might be putting on the brakes, I'll not be surprised to see a more NE motion here shortly.