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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

metwannabe said:
Looks like it might be putting on the brakes, I'll not be surprised to see a more NE motion here shortly.
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Most short term modeling shows it take an eastward jog from this point and then NE keeping right along or just offshore. Obviously this doesn't spare the coastal sections but could have significant implications with inland wind/rain. Now I'm off to a meeting where I will be be most of the day.... poor timing (who does this?!)
 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
It better hurry. Already closer to shore than even the 12Z NAM had it.
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Recon heading in now for a center fix, curious to see what is shows... It probably made it about 20-25 mi further NW than the NAM had it though, either way it's raking the SC coastline right now
 
metwannabe said:
Recon heading in now for a center fix, curious to see what is shows... It probably made it about 20-25 mi further NW than the NAM had it though, either way it's raking the SC coastline right now
Click to expand...
For sure. Myrtle beach area really taking it on the chin. Several tornado pics from that area even inland toward Conway.
 
It looks like Kiawah Island has lost all power. That may encompass all of John’s Island I’m just not sure
 
metwannabe said:
Looks like it might be putting on the brakes, I'll not be surprised to see a more NE motion here shortly.
Click to expand...

Looks like it needs to go more east than northeast, though, if it is going to avoid the NC coast. At least the OBX.
 
I would landfall is looking very likely at this point. I believe it is well inside even the NAM position right now. We shall see.
 
3K nam bumped east now just inshore the OBX through NC, winds look more realistic matching better what we are seeing on the ground still as it gets over the Pamlico sound there is a enhanced area over central eastern NC....still given the current motion and large eye size this could be to far east.....still the 925 MB winds on the 12K NAM are 80-100 mph....not sure how well they mix down but they are only 1500-2000 ft up....
 
Tornado Warning
NCC019-129-051515-
/O.NEW.KILM.TO.W.0042.190905T1442Z-190905T1515Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1042 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central New Hanover County in southeastern North Carolina...
Northeastern Brunswick County in southeastern North Carolina...

* Until 1115 AM EDT.

* At 1042 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located over Silver Lake, or near Wilmington, moving
northwest at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes, roofs, and vehicles.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Leland and Bishop around 1050 AM EDT.
Phoenix around 1055 AM EDT.
Batarora around 1100 AM EDT.
Northwest around 1105 AM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Sandy
Creek, Navassa and Belville.

This includes the following highways...
US Route 74 between mile markers 423 and 434.
US Route 17 in Brunswick County between mile markers 38 and 44.
 
Still looking fairly healthy
goes16_ir_05L_201909051442.jpg
 
Tornado Warning
NCC061-133-051530-
/O.NEW.KMHX.TO.W.0017.190905T1449Z-190905T1530Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1049 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019

The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Onslow County in eastern North Carolina...
Southeastern Duplin County in eastern North Carolina...

* Until 1130 AM EDT.

* At 1047 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located near Maple Hill, or 9 miles southwest of New
River Station, moving northwest at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, Wallace, Rose Hill, Beulaville, Cypress Creek,
Catherine Lake, Chinquapin, Albert J Ellis Airport, Richlands
South, Sarecta, Greenevers, Lyman and Haws Run.
 
I don’t like the changing names of this thread. If it weakens it still has major hurricane surge and other impacts of a major. And if your gonna do it then follow up with it to tropical depression or when it loses its tropical characteristics.
 
NHC says lost it’s major status and intensity still might be too high but will be generous. Pressure rising.
 
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