Shaggy
Member
More like the euro. When it stops and goes back due west into Savanah then it will match the gfsICON taking a step to the GFS.
More like the euro. When it stops and goes back due west into Savanah then it will match the gfsICON taking a step to the GFS.
It’s a lot further SW at landfall. It went from near Cape Lookout to almost Myrtle Beach.It doesnt look WAY SW just a little and now we will be in the worst part of the storm
View attachment 149440
At least. One more shift like that the center would pass close to Charlotte.The ICON shifted a good 80-90 miles SW from 18Z
Half the eyewall is strong just need to wrap around that west side and boom. The way the coast of Florida is shaped if it could stop the wobbles east and go North like the NHC says it’s going that would give it an extra 6hrs in the gulf.
210 miles approximately.It’s a lot further SW at landfall. It went from near Cape Lookout to almost Myrtle Beach.
In almost the same place as 18z so far at hour 111. This model is not giving ground at all yet.Im headed to bed and while at 54 the gfs looks the same the location of the high over the upper midwest is far differnt. It wont end up. like 18Z. So far the same, i was thinking more south
I think like 27 inches in Americus from Alberto. I don’t think Alberto impacted as many populated areas as Debby might. Alberto wasn’t even retired I don’t believe.Hope it's not another td Alberto in 94, but when they cut off and wander bad stuff, happens, like bodies leaving cemeteries, and torrents over ten foot high bridges washing people away like happened down the road. The spillway at a near by lake had a 100 foot rooster tail of water blasting up from it. 20 inches in 24 hours down in Americas, and this one looks to covering the same ground in the beginning.
DONT GIVE UP ON IT. THE HWRF HAS BEEN THAT WAY THE SINCE LAST NIGHT. THE HWRF HAS BEEN PRETTY RELIABLE FOR THE LAST SEVERAL STORMS IMHOIt is changing and has the storm back in the Gulf now about 50 miles SW of Panama City.
Edit: I give up on the GFS, it is laughable now and there is no way it is right