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Hurricane Debby

12Z UKMET: Whereas the 0Z went in just NE of CHS, the 12Z is a little further NE ~midway between CHS and Georgetown. Then goes NNW to near Charlotte then turns NNE to inland in the NE US:

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 79.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.08.2024 0 32.0N 79.4W 996 36
0000UTC 08.08.2024 12 32.6N 79.3W 995 32
1200UTC 08.08.2024 24 33.6N 79.5W 997 34
0000UTC 09.08.2024 36 34.7N 80.6W 999 32
1200UTC 09.08.2024 48 37.8N 79.9W 999 31
0000UTC 10.08.2024 60 42.2N 76.6W 996 34
1200UTC 10.08.2024 72 47.1N 70.2W 990 34
0000UTC 11.08.2024 84 49.7N 64.9W 989 37
1200UTC 11.08.2024 96 50.0N 57.0W 992 35
0000UTC 12.08.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING
 
Again. People will see more rain. Massive totals are less likely, imo from what I see.

Some modeling shows much heavier banding than others. Some of those models had over 15 inches of rain for places already though.
 
GaWx said:
12Z UKMET: Whereas the 0Z went in just NE of CHS, the 12Z is a little further NE ~midway between CHS and Georgetown. Then goes NNW to near Charlotte then turns NNE to inland in the NE US:

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ANALYSED POSITION : 32.0N 79.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042024

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.08.2024 0 32.0N 79.4W 996 36
0000UTC 08.08.2024 12 32.6N 79.3W 995 32
1200UTC 08.08.2024 24 33.6N 79.5W 997 34
0000UTC 09.08.2024 36 34.7N 80.6W 999 32
1200UTC 09.08.2024 48 37.8N 79.9W 999 31
0000UTC 10.08.2024 60 42.2N 76.6W 996 34
1200UTC 10.08.2024 72 47.1N 70.2W 990 34
0000UTC 11.08.2024 84 49.7N 64.9W 989 37
1200UTC 11.08.2024 96 50.0N 57.0W 992 35
0000UTC 12.08.2024 108 CEASED TRACKING
Click to expand...
NHC advisory at 2 has Debby at 32.4, 79.1 .. however, Recon center fixed closer to where the UKMET model initialized.

Nevermind. Last pass locates it on the advisory.
recon_AF309-0904A-DEBBY (1).png
 
Typical coastal/ENC footprint. At least this time we don’t have to argue where the Rain/snow line is going to set up. A lot of rain for the triangle. I’ll be shocked if my area (GSP) picks up those 2-3” numbers TWC is talking about. That just isn’t how these things normally shake out.
 
Rain Cold said:
.75" for the event so far.
Click to expand...
Ice Cube Movie GIF
 
Nasty little line in Savanna metro foggy and poor visibility rains. Could barely hold that water. Thankfully Walterboro SC rains are not headed this way cause that would have caused up to reach 20”+ major issues.
 
...DEBBY SLOWLY APPROACHING THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...

5:00 PM EDT Wed Aug 7
Location: 32.5°N 79.1°W
Moving: NNE at 3 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph


204850_current_wind_sm.png


204850_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


204850WPCERO_sm.gif


 
ragtop50 said:
Convection really blowing up on north and NW side over land. Much of that as it moves inland and totals will come up fast.

View attachment 149648
Click to expand...

This is consistent with what model consensus has been showing.

Down in Richmond Hill (a distant suburb 15 miles SW of Savannah), a friend of mine said she had the heaviest rain of the entire storm with that orange band that came across just in the last hour! But she apparently didn’t get nearly as much rain as I did earlier in the storm.
 
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