LOL thats the name of my Lucha Libre companion
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Hurricane Debby
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
Well, she is up to 60 mph.
It’s still a day away from approach, what do you expect?
The local mets made it seem like it would be raining the whole time from today through Friday, with Thursday being the worse. Maybe it's just been slower coming in
Rain
Do not worry. You're 1.17 inches is on the way sir.
weather bubba
Member
Depending on how long Debby stays in the Atlantic, it is possible she could get close to hurricane status again. There would have to be a lot of reorganization of the inner core before that could happen however.
I think it's going to have to strengthen for a while before coming inland if it's going to be close to the hype that has been forecasted for the rain
Downeastnc
Member
There are 60mph winds 150 miles SE of the 90 mile wide"center" .....she would have to form a much smaller center and or move well offshore to give her time to consolidate a new core to start cranking winds like that at the center....the latest fix does show she is moving east though and may be being pulled closer to the heavier convection she is kinda sustaining on the east side.
Chrisgo
Member
She could possibly reach hurricane status by landfall. Deep convection are firing up near her COC right now.
snowc
Member
Did I hear that we could be seeing a western shift toward the axis of wind and rain?
But but but according to The Weather Channel, you need to move the decimal to the right one spot. I believe them because they are the channel of weather!
This thread sucks
Everything I saw said today would be cloudy, with light rain and the majority of the heavier rain would be tonight- tomorrow.
NoSnowATL
Member
Fox News Weather is better. they actually talk weather.
Chrisgo
Member
Not you specifically it's the just typical let's cancel events before they start stuff. We all do it from time to time but there's still 48hrs to go here so it's weird to me
I've noticed that when we do get rain it helps bring down some gusties and even fairly light returns on radar causes quite a drop in visibility.
weather bubba
Member
They do actually talk about the weather some. The AccuWeather channel is a disappointment. It is not what I thought it would be.
I think it’s more of a fact that they can’t post sob stories to sm!
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
- Messages
- 3,783
- Reaction score
- 11,863
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Nothing bad has ever came of calling a bust midway through an event
Shaggy
Member
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
A lot of military national guard and power trucks headed north on 95 away from Savannah. The winds actually seem to be drying the water up.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Fox has their own Weather Channel ?
WolfpackHomer91
Member
IK I wasnt supposed to get but 4-6" over here IN CLT Metro but yea..... umm I havent seen a drop and sun is out. I think next time we need to quit with the broadcasting extreme scenarios and cut everything in 1/2 minimum. Historically it was feesable to have a 100 year flood from this, 8-12" SAV/CSO and the coastal cities and 4-6" Elsewhere was suffice. They really put graphics out showing point forecast for 15-20" in spots of Sandhills ect.....No chance id ever put anything like that on air or online with my name on it IDC if every model had 15-20" im not going over 8-12" you dont look like a dumbass for busting low. What the public doesnt know wont hurt them
Last edited:
I think for areas along and east of us1 the system is going to be defined by if we see these convecrive tails develop from offshore into the circulation. If they don't then yes the highn end rain totals will bust high, if they do then we have real problems tomorrow with rounds of 1-3 inch per hour rains with embedded tornadoes/supercell structures as sb cape increases on the E and NE and eventually SE side of the circulation. If we get one that has limited movement for a few hours it will easily drop 3-6+ inches of rain on top of what looks like 1-3/2-4 with the main band of rain tonight.
You can see the NAMs, rgem and arw2 really hit us hard with these even the less impressive fv3 hires and gfs hint at them.
You can see the NAMs, rgem and arw2 really hit us hard with these even the less impressive fv3 hires and gfs hint at them.
Last edited:
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I am in Georgia and was supposed to get 2-3" and I didn't get a single drop. Today there's barely a cloud in the sky. The models are awful !
Yes and it's a lot better than the weather channel. I've noticed some of the weather channels old talent is now on Fox weather.
BeachDMD
Member
Bryan Norcross is on there. I always remember him from Andrew in 1992.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Mike Seidel is now with Fox Weather.
The GFS seems pretty reasonable in terms of distribution, if we believe the more western track in the guidance of late. However, I think it's amounts may be a bit low.
On the other end of the spectrum, you have the Canadians. It maintains a much wider swath of rain on the north and east side. Without the system recovering, I would lean against this solution. I definitely think the widespread 8+" amounts are high. Maybe in spots but the model has a rather large area of extremely high totals. It seems overdone, based on radar trends.
I know the forecast is that most of the heavy stuff moves in tonight. But I'm skeptical that the system is going to be organized enough to bring in the Canadian/RGEM totals over such a wide area.
On the other end of the spectrum, you have the Canadians. It maintains a much wider swath of rain on the north and east side. Without the system recovering, I would lean against this solution. I definitely think the widespread 8+" amounts are high. Maybe in spots but the model has a rather large area of extremely high totals. It seems overdone, based on radar trends.
I know the forecast is that most of the heavy stuff moves in tonight. But I'm skeptical that the system is going to be organized enough to bring in the Canadian/RGEM totals over such a wide area.
weather bubba
Member
Maybe these models meet in the middle when it comes to totals. I think 6" to 8" is a good bet as of now for the Triangle area. If Debby does strengthen to near hurricane status again (70 MPH winds) or a little higher I think the NWS may have to adjust the wind forecasts upward a bit.
GoDuke
Member
Well it’s obviously not as bad as models projected. It never is seems like. Forecasts are being pulled back all over.
I think it's a tall order for it to strengthen at this point. But we may get under a band for a while like SD said. I don't see any consolidation of the precip shield, even close to the storm, down in SC...with the exception being along the NC coast near Cape Hatteras. Maybe it all fills in later?
Stormsfury
Member
Recon is out in Debby. The 996mb is the most recent plot. Earlier satellite visible suggested multiple swirls around a common center.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
On radar and satellite, it looks like it’s exhausted all the dry air out of the system and it’s filling in nicely! CR and SD gonna get 5-8”, final call!