Indeed. It has agreed with itself for 4 runs in a row, and 6 of the last 9. But again, its still out past 240.
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Pattern Hotober
- Thread starter NorthDFWwx
- Start date
cd2play
Member
We better hope October doesn't end up as dry as September, or we could be looking at near historic drought conditions.
Philstorm91
Member
Even worse if we get some hefty cold fronts later on with gusty winds fanning the parched landscape. Even down here we haven't gotten that much rain in September.
accu35
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You guys crack me up LOL!! If you live in the southeast, then you can expect all kinds of weather at any given time. Also we have all seen our winters suck with temps and suck with precipitation, especially during winter storm. That's the whole part about the good ole south. I'm a true winter fan, I love my cold and snowy winter also, but if I can at least score once or twice this year than I'm happy.
October is climatological driest month in S.C., so not much hope!
MichaelJ
Member
Those banking on the long range GEFS should pump the brakes a little. The EURO is nasty all the way through October and has a much better track record than the GFS (snd it's GEFS ensembles). It will eventually break in a big way but will take 20-30 days IMO
accu35
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You may be right, but the gfs has been showing a nice cold front by next weekend and I know it's a long ways out but it's been consistent so far. We can only hope.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
GFS seems locked in on October 4th as the day at least for now.
I'm kinda hopeful. Maybe we at least get rid of the 95+'s due to time of year and not as big of a ridge. Regardless, even if we somehow get rid of the heat completely the dryness is a big issue.
I'm kinda hopeful. Maybe we at least get rid of the 95+'s due to time of year and not as big of a ridge. Regardless, even if we somehow get rid of the heat completely the dryness is a big issue.
The latest model runs continue to show the pattern change ~ Oct 4th. Even the euro is on board.
The only thing that I hate, is it may go straight from AC to heat. The 6z GFS has RDU with a high near 90 on Oct 3rd, then in the mid 50s on Oct 4th (lows in the low to mid 40s). **No break for my electric bill......
The only thing that I hate, is it may go straight from AC to heat. The 6z GFS has RDU with a high near 90 on Oct 3rd, then in the mid 50s on Oct 4th (lows in the low to mid 40s). **No break for my electric bill......
What's this? Agreement from the king?
BHS1975
Member
Looks like the gfs is about to pull a coup.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ATLwxfan
Member
Turn off the AC a day early and let the house warm up.
Want to see some more ensemble support. Safe to say that at least we will get a reprieve.
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cyclogent
Member
Well if we're gonna torch then might as well torch the record books. Adios all-time record October high of 94 in CHA along with the latest ever 95+ of 9/25. I think we'll hit 97 here.
cd2play
Member
Hopefully it will be the last big ass heatwave of the season
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
My birthday is Oct 3. Looks like it will be bringing in Fall.
Fountainguy97
Member
It is beginning. Obvious splotches of color across the valley!
Crisp 52.5 this morning
Crisp 52.5 this morning
Well it would appear the GFS is locked in on a front next Friday. I think this is the 7th run in a row? I'd love to see the euro continue to show BN temps for day 9-10 like it did at 0z. Overnight lows for 8/5:
Also worth noting: this CAD signature for next Monday
Also worth noting: this CAD signature for next Monday
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