GFS VS CMC :
GFS - flattens everything and says what development?
CMC - Develops everything. Takes 91 into Yucatan, 92 through the islands and into the Gulf, and to be 93 OTS like Gert. Hervey, Irma, and Jose there.
So which model are y'all going with today.
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That's a beast off the EC that just took a hard left on the last frame as Storm mentioned above...Not fun.
Honestly, assuming they don't all get shredded apart, and can manage to become storms, I think the CMC and UKMET could be resonable solutions. The GFS as well as the Euro keeps ripping these apart and seemed to with Gert. If they don't form at all, the GFS and Euro would be right.Yeah the UKMET is also developing everything & has been for the past few days.... The UKMET develops 92L into a bonafide, strengthening tropical cyclone over the Bahamas by this time next week...
This is a little worrisome as it appears 92L maybe headed to the SE at the end of that run, UKMET not horrible that's for sure.... let's see what the good Doc has to sayYeah the UKMET is also developing everything & has been for the past few days.... The UKMET develops 92L into a bonafide, strengthening tropical cyclone over the Bahamas by this time next week...
I predict a big no from Dr. No, at least for US impacts.
Me too and if this was Winter I'd buy it but Euro hasn't exactly been king as it relates to the tropics
After Gert, the CMC will be leading the Euro. It got the path right and held on to development.
This might be a dumb question, but is there any situation where those two storms interact with each other? Or one "absorbs" the otherYeah I feel as though the hype train is about to leave the station...
I think the squirrel this year isn't blind at all, and has been cured, but is still nearsighted at times.
We shall see next year if this is true, but I think the CMC's days of being crazy and developing 5 hurricanes at once are over.
Not on any of the modeling I've seen, they keep enough separation and they are even farther apart once any model actual starts to develop them to see any type of Fujiwara effect or anything..
I think the squirrel this year isn't blind at all, and has been cured, but is still nearsighted at times.
Joke is right. He doesn't even put any stock into the CMC at all. Is he keeping track of the successes and failures of all models this year? I don't think he is. Give the CMC the win for Gert, and it is #1, Euro is #2, and the GFS is #3, but will fall behind soon I bet. The CFSV2? Isn't that a seasonal model? It won't even show a storm the next few days I bet.
I'm sorry this is irresponsible and will cause premature hysteria....
