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Misc General Banter Thread

Pop the bottles baby, it’s gonna snow.

Triad - I got us with a 2-5” event - there may be some spots that hit 6” in the southeast Triad, wouldn’t surprise me. Overall, I think we are gonna watch Charlotte-Rah do better with this storm just based on the projected track of the ull. Rah is close enough to the coast that it’ll pay dividends if and when the coastal gets cranking. Charlotte is going to get paid off from the ULL.

Should be a great storm for our state, and SC as well.
 
hug the CAMs szn

Buffalo Bills GIF
 
Thrasher Fan said:
hug the CAMs szn

Buffalo Bills GIF
Click to expand...
folks aint gonna keep being patient with you
that playful model that took raleigh city by storm with his first forecast
he sat down and was like i love qpf! and he had the whole and all that
that was all cool! but we give that grace to young models
big dog you're supposed to be our number 1
and you're forecasting like a bum
i bet you better start doing your job!
 
chapelhillwx said:
Yep, they just put Fulton/Cobb/Cherokee/etc under a warning for "up to 2" - I think they're not wanting a repeat of 2014

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1018 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

GAZ021-032-033-044>046-048-055-057>059-072-084-311215-
/O.UPG.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.260131T0600Z-260201T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KFFC.WS.W.0002.260131T0600Z-260201T0600Z/
Cherokee-Cobb-North Fulton-South Fulton-DeKalb-Rockdale-Newton-
Clayton-Henry-Butts-Jasper-Jones-Wilkinson-
Including the cities of Toomsboro, Atlanta, Conyers, Stockbridge,
Jackson, Gray, Woodstock, East Point, Monticello, Covington, Decatur,
Riverdale, and Marietta
1018 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 2
inches with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting as high
as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central and north central Georgia.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely
become slick and hazardous. Gusty winds could result in areas of
blowing snow and poor visibility. Plan on very difficult to
impossible travel conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind chills will range from 5 degrees above
zero to the lower teens above zero on Saturday and from five
degrees below zero to to the single digits above zero Saturday
night.
Click to expand...

They'll get jumped if this doesn't work out in their favor, but I really don't blame them for doing this.

At least it's a weekend, but while my brain is kinda fried already, I have seen several model runs that push 2" totals to knocking on the door of ATL proper.
 
I know a large church in Atlanta that’s still taking a group of hundreds of middle schoolers up to a retreat in Cleveland, GA tonight through Sunday. As of 11am the trip is still on and I’m stunned. Cleveland is supposed to get 4-6 inches lol. Stupid in my opinion
 
jrips27 said:
I know a large church in Atlanta that’s still taking a group of hundreds of middle schoolers up to a retreat in Cleveland, GA tonight through Sunday. As of 11am the trip is still on and I’m stunned. Cleveland is supposed to get 4-6 inches lol. Stupid in my opinion
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Yeah I wouldn't be taking a bunch of kids there just because right now. It's slightly less risky then Highlands/Cashiers/etc, but still, unless you're going after snow...
 
It’s nice to not worry over temperature. 2018 and 2025 we had snows in NESC/SENC with temperatures falling into the teens which made it great to shovel and walk around in. Enjoy it folks!
 
ColaSnow said:
A snow map from y'all "friends...."
Click to expand...


He gazed up at the BAM Weather snow map. Forty winters it had taken him to learn what kind of smile was hidden beneath the dark facade. O cruel, needless misunderstanding! O stubborn, self-willed exile from the loving breast! Two gin-scented tears trickled down the sides of his nose. But it was all right, everything was all right, the struggle was finished. He had won the victory over himself. He loved BAM Weather.
 
Disco_Lemonade said:
Firm hand shakes all around ladies and gentlemen, I will be relieved and sad when it’s over.
Click to expand...

There is almost always an element of sadness once it’s here. The chase is half the fun with these systems, even if it’s often maddening.
 
Per ChatGPT... I was asking questions about the storm and tilt of the trough.
Conclusion:

My leaning (without hype)​


If I had to plant a flag conceptually:


  • I think the ULL strength favors at least neutral tilt
  • That argues against a clean, sweeping dry slot for everyone
  • But I do think precip distribution will be uneven

Translation:


  • Someone in NC is going to jackpot
  • Someone 30–50 miles away is going to be salty
  • Central NC is right on that knife edge

I’d be watching:


  • 500 mb height falls over GA/SC
  • 850–700 mb moisture convergence near the coast
  • Whether the coastal low deepens before the ULL passes latitude of NC
 
packfan98 said:
Yeah, I can’t just brush some of the best models off. They did pretty good last week with the first round of precip before the squall line last weekend.
Click to expand...
The AI models are lower resolution, or am I making that up? Wondering if they could be missing some mesoscale stuff, although I wouldn't be asking these questions if they showed me getting 8-12” of snow instead of 1-4”. 💀
 
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