iGRXY
Member
I think it’s just IP and snow, not freezing rain.
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Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
Looking at p type maps it looks like it’s mainly ZR with some members having pockets of IP.
The GEFS was a major decrease for the NE.
Now that’s some good stuff
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Icon finally ran and it was colder
SnowNiner
Member
Except if it's because of an upstream issue that also effects us, like a weaker or faster storm. Anybody got the 18z eps qpf for this storm?
Last edited:
Clem282340
Member
How much colder
iGRXY
Member
Icon had a beautiful track and had nearly a 1040 HP. Temperatures now had the freezing line close to the NC/SC border and the upstate was between 33-35 degrees. That’s scary as that would’ve been a severe ice storm without the warm bias.
SnowNiner
Member
Thank you. Eps is pretty rock solid when it comes to qpf amounts. Something to watch nws said this was going to be a quick storm limiting it's impact. Upward of .5 inches isn't bad though.
hey @Ollie Williams could you get the comparison from 12z to 18z for QPF in the EPS ? Weathermodels doesn’t have the “mean” just the percentiles, t.i.a
Should be interesting to see if euro trends colder from its 18z run or stays the same
SnowNiner
Member
Wow, big drop for the southern piedmont. Thanks. Less and less of an issue for clt. Temps and qpf just not there yet.
Euro still warmest 
Honestly don’t know what to think here, GFS/CMC/GEFS/CMCE all have the same idea while the euro has a more amped up SW with less confluence, it’s kinda of on a Island right now
I know some models are cold biased but there quite a bit more favorable for a event synoptically, the euro just doesn’t look as good at H5
I know some models are cold biased but there quite a bit more favorable for a event synoptically, the euro just doesn’t look as good at H5
How warm? What did the earlier frames look like?
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I find the inland LP tracks a little suspect with the CAD present.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I definitely wouldn't say that, lighter and lower QPF often means more ice accrual efficiency and slower erosion of the CAD dome for areas below freezing as less latent heating is used to convert liquid to ice.