Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
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Yes the two times I pointed out there was no snow cover in the western Piedmont...both times CLT had lows in the 4-8 degree range without any snow cover. A few other times that come to mind right off for CLT metro are Dec. 1989 and January 1994
These are the La Ninas since 1895 that had -NAO in February against an older, colder, and more relevant base period (for that time) 1895-2000:
It's extremely hit or miss wrt snow here, you have some truly legendary Februarys like 1895 & 1899, some solid ones like Feb 1968, 1965, 1963, and then quite a few duds. Even still, give me this pattern every day of the week and I'll take my chances.
1899 , I don’t even know if it’s possible for something like that again . Ice chunks flowing into the miss by New Orleans , -2 in Tallahassee , Raleigh had a high of 10 which is the coldest ever . It’s so anomalous that the next coldest high for Raleigh is 16... a 6 degree difference . The -2 recorded in Raleigh that February was the record low until we hit -9 in January 1985.
Yeah the Jan 1985 cold wave came right at the end of the month & was also ironically after a SSWE like this year. I wouldn't expect an air mass like Feb 1899's but we can get stupid cold in patterns like this as long as we get at least temporary bouts of -EPO/WPO. One of those bouts of -EPO/-WPO is coming the next few days and will help setup this massive cold shot next week that's showing up on the models.
I’m a fan of that ridging bridging on top/around AK, 18z EPS, that could dump more potent cold if you get more ridging up there 
Every La Nina since the mid 1980s has featured +NAO in February. Thanks to a strong/persistent -NAO lingering from the sudden stratospheric warming event early in January, this year looks to be a major change of pace & you can basically throw the canonical Feb Nina SE US blowtorch composites out the window
That -NAO is the reason why we haven't torched that much and it's good to see it continue into February.
I don't think it's a matter of if we get a widespread winter storm, but when. I just hope the schools do the "right thing" and have snow days, not "remote learning".
I would give my left arm to see the day 10 12z Euro verify
I’m left handed, so I’ll give my right
If there's 4 inches of snow on the ground, and they make schools do remote learning, there will be many, many unhappy kids and teachers. A lot of them might "skip"
It will cost you your soul
Id sacrifice an arm too, but then Id never view the Mancave thread again!!!
Nope. Our record here is -8F (1985) and that was without any snowcover.
Cant speak for your area but Jan 1985 had snow cover here . Cant imagine your area would be different .