Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[cd2play]

I like cold dont get me wrong but big HP like that in the past has lead to suppression so well see on a funny note my Farmers Almanac for 11th-15th says snow showers in the Carolinas blizzard conditions in the NE wonder what there algorithm is?

Would probably contribute to CAD. IDK about TN

 

[superjames1992]

Thats not really a warm nose. Just lacking a low level cold air source.

With more precipitation, it’s probably wet snow with 32-34F temps across the Piedmont. Kinda lame since I want a cold snow that actually accumulates efficiently, but better than nothing. However, we’d also be susceptible to being flooded with mid level WAA, then.

I think there’s potential with the first system, but the ceiling isn’t high. Hard to really even see a street sticker with it. Marginal temps, not a lot of precip...but maybe some slop for some. I wouldn’t bet on it, though. It’s probably going to trend to VA, anyways.

 

[BelmontWX79]

I like cold dont get me wrong but big HP like that in the past has lead to suppression so well see on a funny note my Farmers Almanac for 11th-15th says snow showers in the Carolinas blizzard conditions in the NE wonder what there algorithm is?

Didn't you hear? They use the Super Seasonal ICON model ran on LoganElliot99s laptop.

 

[Chandler]

Here’s our storm!

 

[packfan98]

There’s your fantasy SE snowstorm at the end of the gfs run.

 

[Broken024]

Round 2 incoming boys

 

[Spurs up]

Lol View attachment 70394

ok I'll take it ! stop all future runs i don't need em just stop right there!

 

[Broken024]

Shes beaut clark!

 

[Chazwin]

With more precipitation, it’s probably wet snow with 32-34F temps across the Piedmont. Kinda lame since I want a cold snow that actually accumulates efficiently, but better than nothing. However, we’d also be susceptible to being flooded with mid level WAA, then.

I think there’s potential with the first system, but the ceiling isn’t high. Hard to really even see a street sticker with it. Marginal temps, not a lot of precip...but maybe some slop for some. I wouldn’t bet on it, though. It’s probably going to trend to VA, anyways.

Honestly I think if we just got a little more cold push at 850mb and some heavier rates, that Sunday system would work for much of NC and northern SC. Like you said, it wouldn’t be a big storm, most likely a 1-3, 2-4 type deal with temps in the low to mid 30s, but that would be lot better than what many of us have seen in the last couple years.

 

[Jessy89]

Fantasy if only


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[Jessy89]

If the GFS has a warm bias. Then technically Sunday could work. We just got to hope it’s not in Virginia tomorrow


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[Myfrotho704_]

I’m not a fan at all of the first system, imo it’s not doing much, the EPS has been going NW with it, and now the GEFS is, I wish I was wrong but that first system imo isn’t working out

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Now this is a look that could work out, when the cold is already in place/near us, this is it right here

 

[DixieBlizzard]

Me and @ForsythSnow will take that. A little warm tho

I will take that all day long Buckwheat.

 

[Broken024]

Clown map to cheer everyone up. Mack's old casa gets a foot.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Clown map to cheer everyone up. Mack's old casa gets a foot.
View attachment 70403

That's an awfully sharp cutoff on the southern edge. Northern Atlanta burbs get a foot, southern burbs nothing.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Now Thats hot

 

[Broken024]

Man, I don't remember the last time GEFS looked so promising. The let down will be epic this time boys.

 

[DixieBlizzard]

Love me some 18z GFS Prozac which has now been decriminalized in most of the south! Thanks for posting @Broken024 !!

 

[ryan1234]

Clown map to cheer everyone up. Mack's old casa gets a foot.
View attachment 70403

Now, if only we could shift that snow hole to the MA and NE. THAT would make me even happier. They've had enough for the season.