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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

NCHighCountryWX said:
There has been at least some snow cover above 4500’ in the NC mountains for 65 of the 67 days since November 29. An epic winter so far.

Advice is to get over and enjoy it as good periods like this do not occur every year.

For almost 18 years now, Snow has been a very brief rare nuisance type event outside of the mountains and the far NW corner of the state west of I-77. Definitely not like it used to be.
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Well that was depressing
 
Until we get some run to run consistency in the PAC (If we ever do) we just don't how hard and when the cold will come.
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
This being posted every model cycle is unnecessary. Take it to whamby lol
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Ignore him or report it but please (and this is for everyone) don't try to engage anyone you think that their post are off topic. Your post at that point become off topic and help clutter up the thread too. I strongly encourage some of you to utilize the ignore feature, it really does work great.
 
metwannabe said:
Ignore him or report it but please (and this is for everyone) don't try to engage anyone you think that their post are off topic. Your post at that point become off topic and help clutter up the thread too. I strongly encourage some of you to utilize the ignore feature, it really does work great.
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Indeed I've already posted this once but it'll do it again report posts that you believe are in the wrong thread, are offensive, and so on. A repeated pattern of reported posts for a poster leads to warnings and warnings lead to short term time outs
 
oh
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png
 
Geez, if you hang your hopes on each individual long range model run, you will go insane. It's pointless. The problem is, many only take into account a model run which fits their narrative (cold and snowy) taking it to the bank as gospel. Then when an alternate run comes about and destroys the narrative, then it's the end of the world. Ensembles are what I prefer to focus on. ALL the globals have been like a pogo stick this winter and can't be trusted more than 5 days, if that long.
In cases where big cold shots sweep across the country, it seems, in my limited memory, it is often delayed but not denied. Sort of like slow moving lava.
 
The GFS look screams big southeast storm after day 8. The cold pushes in and the SE ridge tries to hold firm. Something can pop between the two.
But, I'm still not sure I believe the GFS. The euro and Canadian allow the cold in much quicker (at least for the upper south).
 
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