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Brick Tamland
Guest
Would be nice to have the models agree and see a storm coming from a week out for a change.
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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I think that’s what made February 2014 so much fun. The models latched onto about 8-9 days out and never lost it.
GFS is trending to more separation early on which is what the CMC/ECMWF does 
Broken024
Member
Cold incoming hour 162. Jackets required
Stormlover
Member
Chattownsnow
Member
Even the Saturday storm is trending way south now with cold arriving much sooner. Wave is much less amped 
Damn
and the overrunning system ahead of it trended better
and the overrunning system ahead of it trended better
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Quite boring weather on the gfs so far.
Always a hypercite.. lol
Dewpoint Dan
Member
-10 here is nothing to sneeze at. Tarheel can have the -30 though.
Out to day ten, the GFS is a snooze fest other than a fleeting cold shot. I'd like to latch on to the EMCF, but it has in particular been all over the place beyond 96 hours. There is good agreement on finally getting some true artic air into NAM, so we'll see what we can cook up in a few days.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
What?
Stormlover
Member
Troll?
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I think just about anyone would agree with me
This is the type of set up to watch for something to pop up on the edge of the front as it’s clearing through the southeast. Look at those temperature difference along the Texas coast... perfect baroclinic zone for a wave to develop and move east and perhaps spread some overrunning precip. It’s something that often doesn’t show up until 2 or 3 days out
Jessy89
Member
Gfs cold dry but let’s see what euro and Canadian do later
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From RAH:
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 425 PM Sunday...
The mid/upr low initially along the middle Atlantic coast will lift
very slowly newd and allow for shortwave ridging to expand from the
Plains to the middle Atlantic mid to late week. The flow aloft is
then forecast to become increasingly amplified, with cross polar
flow likely by Fri-Sat, and a progression of a high amplitude trough
from the cntl to ern US through next weekend. It will consequently
warm up into the 50s-60s in cntl NC by Fri, followed by an above
average chance of rain as the trough aloft, and one or more frontal
systems, affect NC through the weekend. An Arctic intrusion will
likely follow the latter frontal system; and that could result in
the some of the coldest air in recent memory by early next week.
&&
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 425 PM Sunday...
The mid/upr low initially along the middle Atlantic coast will lift
very slowly newd and allow for shortwave ridging to expand from the
Plains to the middle Atlantic mid to late week. The flow aloft is
then forecast to become increasingly amplified, with cross polar
flow likely by Fri-Sat, and a progression of a high amplitude trough
from the cntl to ern US through next weekend. It will consequently
warm up into the 50s-60s in cntl NC by Fri, followed by an above
average chance of rain as the trough aloft, and one or more frontal
systems, affect NC through the weekend. An Arctic intrusion will
likely follow the latter frontal system; and that could result in
the some of the coldest air in recent memory by early next week.
&&
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
??
Jessy89
Member
Only thing we are pretty sure of is there will be a cold snap. Maybe short lived and our window of opportunity may be fairly small. Just got to hope something pops up as we draw closer
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