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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

EPS NAO
64fc7ad45627e01a7049a5b455424ada.jpg


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SD said:
I want to see the ones that are below 10 for the high
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You are in the wrong "North" for that, this is North CAROLINA.....you thinking of North DAKOTA....

Seriously though PGV low max is 16 in Jan 1985 I cant imagine what kind of airmass/snowpack it would take to keep MBY under 10 for a high.....
 
Downeastnc said:
You are in the wrong "North" for that, this is North CAROLINA.....you thinking of North DAKOTA....

Seriously though PGV low max is 16 in Jan 1985 I cant imagine what kind of airmass/snowpack it would take to keep MBY under 10 for a high.....
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We would have to be cloudy I think I'd love to see it happen but I'm not sure its realistic
 
SD said:
We would have to be cloudy I think I'd love to see it happen but I'm not sure its realistic
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We managed -1 officially at PGV in Jan 2018 with the snowpack and the following airmass.....my porch was-4 on my Kestral at first light on the 7th and -2 on the 6th.....still though with snowpack we got into the 20's for a few hrs every afternoon. We did -4 low and 16 high in 1985 with no snow pack at all with full sun....

2018-01-04322026.0-15.83900.031.04
2018-01-0529919.0-22.74600.000.00
2018-01-0627114.0-27.75100.000.00
2018-01-0727-113.0-28.75200.000.00
2018-01-0846827.0-14.73800.000.00
 
Lickwx said:
When I was but a little boy you used to post memes for these on americanwx ! I remember them all those years ago lurking . I agree however , long range noise . Right now looks super negative .
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Ha I need to do those again. It's been a minute!
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Keep it right there for a few more days ! View attachment 70020View attachment 70021View attachment 70022
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It’s really not even a NW trend we would need there, in fact I think you could afford it to trend south a bit. That cold press coming is strong and it would be very easy to expand the northern extent of the precip shield dramatically with overrunning. You just don’t want the low getting too amped because then you introduce a warm nose. I could see turning into a 2/11/14 type deal, but with a little more precip to the north.
 
The last 32 or colder daytime high at CHS was 2018 during the big snow. 1/3 was a high of 30. Before that we had a high of 34 on 1/1, 36 on 1/2, then the coldest it got with the snow pack was 16 on the morning of 1/5. It didn’t get above 40 degrees from 1/1 until 1/8. Almost unfathomable for our area. After that I think you have to go to 1/29/14 during one of our ice storms.
 
Huge change in 2m temps on the GFS in the medium range! As in 20 degree plus . All because of a slightly stronger WAR, and more delayed cold . Or rather , it’s tilt is a bit more south and west. Texas looks colder .
 
Sctvman said:
The last 32 or colder daytime high at CHS was 2018 during the big snow. 1/3 was a high of 30. Before that we had a high of 34 on 1/1, 36 on 1/2, then the coldest it got with the snow pack was 16 on the morning of 1/5. It didn’t get above 40 degrees from 1/1 until 1/8. Almost unfathomable for our area. After that I think you have to go to 1/29/14 during one of our ice storms.
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It's interesting that 3 of the 5 coldest highs in downtown Charleston occurred in December. None of the top 5 were in January. The coldest was 21 on 12-23-1989.
 
Lickwx said:
Eh, could just be slightly delayed . It’s what I want to see but it doesn’t change the fact that the cold is coming .
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I was just about to say it looks cooler to me. Means nothing if we can't get a storm
 
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