Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Meteorologist1999]

Anyone have EPS snow mean

What is the snow mean for all models?

 

[Tarheel1]

This is just freaking impressive, straight out of the Arctic regions lined up right to us View attachment 69553View attachment 69552View attachment 69554

I ain’t never seen so many weenies get excited about some 10 degree below average, cold shot!

 

[Ollie Williams]

Anyone have EPS snow mean

1 to 15:

5 to 10:

 

[Stormlover]

GFS mean

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Yikes the means aren't really good. I guess it's better than nothing this far out

 

[Chazwin]

Gonna add some climo perspectives since everyone is going Gaga over barney. The last sub 25 high in rdu for the month of January was in 1988. For the month of February it was in 2015. However, they have happened only 9 times in over 130 years for the month of February . Let alone 2 back to back days .

How did RDU not have any highs below 25 in January 1994? CLT had a couple days during that week long outbreak that barely broke 20.

 

[LickWx]

How did RDU not have any highs below 25 in January 1994? CLT had a couple days during that week long outbreak that barely broke 20.

I missed that one, was looking through a list of top 10. So 1994.

 

[Storm5]

Damn the euro is close for many in the Tennessee valley next weekend


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[Chazwin]

it’s a fair point. Much rather have this cold air locked in place though and worry about suppression. Plus we always have our NW trend in the end which will give us room to work with.

This is true. Even with the tendency of storms to trend south this winter, we’ve still seen them trend back NW during the final 18-24 hours leading up to them. February 12, 2010 was very much like that. I literally went from no snow in the forecast with everything missing me to the south to 24 hours later getting 5 inches. Also with a deep cold air mass like that, you don’t need a strong low to give good snows... just need a weak low riding the gulf coast to give good overrunning like January 1988 or January 2011

 

[Stormlover]

Damn the euro is close for many in the Tennessee valley next weekend


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come on up!

 

[BufordWX]

Not sure how much it matters but here is the new CPC outlook for February. Looks a lot better!

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Not sure how much it matters but here is the new CPC outlook for February. Looks a lot better!View attachment 69633View attachment 69634

Well that could get interesting with at or below normal temps and above normal precip across much of the east.

 

[Tarheel1]

Not sure how much it matters but here is the new CPC outlook for February. Looks a lot better!View attachment 69633View attachment 69634

They are the BRad P’s if temp forecasting! The day before it looks to go below normal, they will go all in! They love = chances!?

 

[Tarheel1]

Well that could get interesting with at or below normal temps and above normal precip across much of the east.

Yep, if Cold Tain is interesting

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

If only the run wasn’t about to end. View attachment 69588View attachment 69589

Textbook look! But alas, I have been left void of hope...

 

[ATLwxfan]

Another totally underestimated wedge today with forecasted mid 50’s but we are stuck in the mid 40’s ITP. Gonna have to watch this over the next few weeks.


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[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Broken024]

View attachment 69643

Esta muy bien si?

 

[Chazwin]

Another totally underestimated wedge today with forecasted mid 50’s but we are stuck in the mid 40’s ITP. Gonna have to watch this over the next few weeks.


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Imagine how good of a wedge we could get with an actual high pressure up in the NE

 

[Chazwin]

View attachment 69643

This really isn’t a battle of models at this point. This is all global and the GFS along with the ensembles showing this now.