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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

From winter to summer as is more often the case with our warmer planet:

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
0512 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2021

..RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT SAVANNAH GA


A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 86 WAS SET AT SAVANNAH GA TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 85 SET IN 1997.
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The 86 was only 1 cooler than the monthly record of 87, set on 2/25/2018. The last 3 Febs have had 86 for the warmest. This was our 3rd day in a row of 82+. The good news is that even assuming 80+ tomorrow, which is forecasted, we will end up with only 4 days of 80+ this month vs 6+ 80+ highs the prior 4 Febs.

The forecasts from just a few hours prior keep missing the highs by several or more degrees. I blame that on the persistent cold bias of most models.

Fortunately, March 2nd+ is looking much cooler with hopefully no more 80s for a week+ after tomorrow's expected low 80s and March 1, which I'm guessing will exceed 80 as the forecast for upper 70s looks too cool (CHS keeps missing too low) and models are warming as per the usual.
 
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Can we get a shower today? Might as well beat the record.

RAH:
The front will slowly lift northward today, and any widely scattered
showers should move out of the forecast area by early afternoon.
Rainfall amounts will be light, generally on the order of a few
hundredths of an inch. Whether RDU gets the 0.02" necessary to tie
the record for wettest meteorological winter on record (or the 0.03"
necessary to beat it) is still up for debate but it will be close
no doubt.
 
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50F, Fog/Mist. Will we hit the forecast of 68. I have my doubts. ?‍♂️
 
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