Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[accu35]

 

[J.C.]

Haven't seen highs like this up in Avery and Wautaga Counties in NC in quite a while, damn.

 

[blueheronNC]

Single digit lows Monday morning, then rain overnight Tuesday ☠

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

If this happens I will be very unhappy. Lol

 

[J.C.]

There is no way that cold air at the surface is eroded that easily if this cold shot is a strong as it looks to be.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Single digit lows Monday morning, then rain overnight Tuesday ☠

While the south gets hit hard with snow. Classic nc

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

There is no way that cold air at the surface is eroded that easily if this cold shot is a strong as it looks to be.

It comes right back. Just immediately following the precip leaving. You know it's gotta find a way to rain cold

 

[FortMillSCWx]

Even -- honking lows in the single digits next Sun/Mon.....and then we scour out that quick? FFS!

 

[Avalanche]

Lets just make the permanent rain-snow line the border of western and northern NC.

 

[Avalanche]

Wonder about soundings during that time. Bet it wouldnt take a lot for that overrunning to be snow. To me, that is a classic statewide snow look of past times.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol hour 210 GFS never makes sense anyways, it’s far out anyways so specifics don’t really matter.
Anyways it wouldn’t take much to get something here

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

There is no way that cold air at the surface is eroded that easily if this cold shot is a strong as it looks to be.

By the time the LP is in S Ga the artic high is halfway to Bermuda. Front end thump maybe. Bottom line is that Baja low needs to be kicked east a day sooner for a board-wide big dog.

 

[CaryWx]

Single digit lows Monday morning, then rain overnight Tuesday ☠

Let's see what the 12z euro does with this event. Assuming it has it.

 

[JLL1973]

the gfs is sure fun to look at it for us here in the midsouth but too bad its all a joke. i dont trust that model two hours out more less 200 hours

 

[crecre9]

This is the kind of sounding I want to see (N AL on 9 Feb) 5 days from now.

 

[iGRXY]

single digit DPs through the CAD areas of NC/SC right before the storm and the GFS tries to flip it over to rain lololol.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

H5 is very deceiving haha

 

[CaryWx]

the gfs is sure fun to look at it for us here in the midsouth but too bad its all a joke. i dont trust that model two hours out more less 200 hours

It's not done too badly in recent weeks. Not sure at that range though. To be honest that range has been a crap shoot for of all of the big four this winter pretty much

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Can’t wait for the ice map from the CMC

 

[Webberweather53]

Big vortex fixing to come down towards the Lakes & SE Canada on the GEFS at day 5.

A legit window for a classic, board-wide overrunning event might be trying to open up ~Feb 10th or so. If we score in these kinds of patterns it's usually about 4-5 days after this look at 500mb

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Have a feeling that this is gonna be like the gfs

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Can’t wait for the ice map from the CMC

CMC cold bias. Likely to all be rain

 

[BufordWX]

I’ll cash out now please!

 

[FamouslyHot]

By the time the LP is in S Ga the artic high is halfway to Bermuda. Front end thump maybe. Bottom line is that Baja low needs to be kicked east a day sooner for a board-wide big dog.

If anything the low will probably be held back a day. Doesn't the GFS have a progressive bias?

 

[BufordWX]

Lol

 

[cd2play]

If anything the low will probably be held back a day. Doesn't the GFS have a progressive bias?

I would rather have a late week storm do I can have all weekend to enjoy.

 

[Chazwin]

Mehh a northwest trend is probably super unlikely with that look but who knows

I’m not looking for huge NW trend even though I think some correction north would be made closer in. What I would look for is precip spreading much further north as often happens in overrunning set ups.

 

[Webberweather53]

Well if you want a big overrunning event in the SE US around Feb 10th, this is exactly what you wanna see at 500mb. Big Lakes/SE Canada vortex sliding east towards Atlantic Canada while the west-based -NAO retrogrades towards the Canadian Archipelago coupled w/ a southern stream wave near the Baja

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

We have cold air and it still finds a way to rain ?

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I like

 

[Tarheel1]

Brad. In all seriousness. If we can't score that would be very unfortunate. I mean we saw precip like 5 days last week lol View attachment 69864

Believe it when I see it! I guess BRad trusts the models with cold air, but won’t use them if they show snow! ???

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Believe it when I see it! I guess BRad trusts the models with cold air, but won’t use them if they show snow! ???

Tbh I wouldn't trust them if they showed snow either lol.

 

[ATLwxfan]

We have cold air and it still finds a way to rain View attachment 69902

Yeah I would expect a lot of wonky runs between now and Pansnowmic


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[Rain Cold]

Lol, rides the south and still rain. Urgh

Could see that coming a mile away lol. Can't even get a good fantasy storm in an arctic pattern.

 

[Tarheel1]

I’ll cash out now please!View attachment 69898View attachment 69899

Need NW trend! ?

 

[znel52]

Need NW trend! ?

Dang man save some for us. ?

 

[Avalanche]

View attachment 69904

Makes me wanna pluck my eyeballs out.

 

[Avalanche]

Dang man save some for us. ?

According to GFS, you might have severe to look forward to.