Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Storm5]

despite all the ice...still snow snow on the gfs ens mean View attachment 71143

Can you post the one with this weekends system removed


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[Jessy89]

Why is the GFS op run so out to lunch from the gefs esambles? I’m really looking forward to the euro run.


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[deltadog03]

GFS ens mean show a big ice storm View attachment 71141

Tells me the OP is on crack more than likely

 

[Mitch West]

I wish they had “ice ensembles”. Would be interesting to see something like that in this set up

 

[Storm5]

Can you post the one with this weekends system removed


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Never mind it’s posted above


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[CaryWx]

Looking for ECMWF to align somewhat. I'll try not to freak if euro ops run isn't all there.

 

[Webberweather53]

Hopefully the cold can actually break into the medium range here, we're still stuck at day 9 before the motherload reaches us.

 

[SouthSideYankee]

Why is the GFS op run so out to lunch from the gefs esambles? I’m really looking forward to the euro run.


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Because it's an op run at like 200hrs.

 

[Tagat]

If a Thread for Valentine weekend is ever started it needs to have this in the title somehow...

 

[accu35]

If this isn't a sign than I dont know what is

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We need that trough south of Greenland to be south of Atlantic Canada, if it's that far east, any storm in this time frame is gonna cut to our north & the upper south will have fringe ice or rain at best

View attachment 71145

I’m noticing CAD, I guess some members probably separate the Atlantic Canada trough/our Trough for overrunning and stick a ridge through the GLs, this sucks for other areas but for CAD regions could possibly do something

 

[Ethan80963]

I’ve seen it more times than not if the GFS is crappy the GEFS is likely to also be crappy so I would say the GFS was out to lunch this run....hopefully

 

[accu35]

So this storm starts cranking up Wednesday/Thursday morning in the west location. Not long at all

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Not a fan. But I’ll play I guess

 

[lexxnchloe]

Not a fan. But I’ll play I guess View attachment 71152

Nasty pattern if it were hurricane season.

 

[Stormlover]

Can you post the one with this weekends system removed


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ugh, you are right...not much snow, but ice

 

[Broken024]

I expected worse, I’m noticing CAD View attachment 71146View attachment 71147

Looks like only one of them is similar to OP. Interesting.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Meanwhile, the GEPS was a big shift in the right direction.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like only one of them is similar to OP. Interesting.

We may get saved by CAD, typically they pop up out of nowhere

 

[Webberweather53]

Meanwhile, the GEPS was a big shift in the right direction.
View attachment 71155

The EPS and ECMWF are gonna be somewhat telling wrt which camp we may be headed towards the next day or two. If it nods to the icon, gem, and its ensembles, I’ll be more apt to give less credence to the gefs and gfs. The last couple times they’ve held back these southern Canada TPV lobes back too long and hopefully that happens again here