Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Ethan80963]

Doesn’t the GFS suit have a track record of completely losing storms in the mid range only to bring it back as we get closer?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Doesn’t the GFS suit have a track record of completely losing storms in the mid range only to bring it back as we get closer?

Yeah but that’s with suppression/stuff that can trend NW

 

[iGRXY]

Doesn’t the GFS suit have a track record of completely losing storms in the mid range only to bring it back as we get closer?

Don't they all?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Doesn’t the GFS suit have a track record of completely losing storms in the mid range only to bring it back as we get closer?

Yes but the GFSV2 nailed the early December storm a couple years ago

 

[Chazwin]

We may get saved by CAD, typically they pop up out of nowhere

CAD with the snow pack the NE has now should work fine for the western 2/3rds of NC and upstate SC

 

[deltadog03]

EURO VS GFS (12z RUN)

 

[deltadog03]

EURO has a stronger vortex into AK so far this run vs GFS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro looks in between so far, better then the GFS atm

 

[CaryWx]

More east based on euro at 120 than gfs

 

[BelmontWX79]

Looking over the 00Z para Euro from last night and its not near as favourable for snow. Digs a lot more over the west before eventually heading east and follows an evolution at the surface similar to the 12Z GFSV16. SIG CAD develops and brings what looks to be major ice to much of North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina. Hopefully some of that is sleet but with 850's starting out some warm not so sure. I only picked out one frame but alot more precip falls around this time.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro is a little bit better then the GFS, hopefully that developing ridge to the west can boot it

 

[deltadog03]

I think more good changes...EURO vs GFS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I think more good changes...EURO vs GFS
View attachment 71182View attachment 71183

That developing western ridge may try to drop the TPV down a bit, that’s a better look vs the GFS I think

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Euro is a little bit better then the GFS, hopefully that developing ridge to the west can boot it View attachment 71178View attachment 71179

Completely different look in Alaska. I like the way the EMCF seems to be headed. It has that bagginess in the SW that's been absent the past two GFS runs.

 

[Ollie Williams]

So far the Euro looks worse than 00z. More ridging over the NE, less +PNA.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We still went the wrong direction imo

 

[Rain Cold]

The PV north of MN is just screaming for an inland tracking system. Need it farther east. We know this, so I'm not pointing out anything new. But when you see the models trending toward moving it west, that's no bueno.

 

[Snowfan]

Congrats @Brent.

 

[whatalife]

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