Golferwhotries
Member
SD, is the ao and nao forecasted to go negative on gefs and eps due to mjo in phase 8 later or is it both that and PV split potential?
I think I'm the only one enjoying this warm weather.You know the part where the Winter Warlock's heart melts and he changes. That is me after the past few weeks of warm weather.
Sorry but Spring is winning.
"Put one foot in front of the other and soon Winter is out the door. "
I think I'm the only one enjoying this warm weather.
I agree. It will help save a lot of people money. Also, I'm kinda ready to start doing yard work. I haven't cranked up the lawn mower since September because things got so dry last fall that the grass was dead by the end of September.It's not bad if we aren't getting a Winter storm. Pointless to have expensive heating bills without something in return.
You could make a chicken/egg argument here but it seems like the pv displacement did the dirty work and the EPO/Siberia ridge are finishing this processSD, is the ao and nao forecasted to go negative on gefs and eps due to mjo in phase 8 later or is it both that and PV split potential?
GFS has nothing to offer except, disappointment.
18z gefs is far more entertaining days 7-10 vs the gfs op
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Oh good, it's about time some model is starting to make since.18z gefs is far more entertaining days 7-10 vs the gfs op
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Looks like garbage tonight! Not even the DGEX has hope lol.Does anyone have the DGEX...It will save winter...LOL!
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Looks like garbage tonight! Not even the DGEX has hope lol.
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Tell that to the people in Wisconsin !Looks like garbage tonight! Not even the DGEX has hope lol.
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Looks like garbage tonight! Not even the DGEX has hope lol.
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So when are you expecting these changes to occur, giving how the GEFS looks better vrs Op run day7/10 on 18z?Here are my thoughts on the 18z GFS and what may occur.
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Hard to say for sure, the model may show something more realistic 5 days before the time frame, or at the last minute.So when are you expecting these changes to occur, giving how the GEFS looks better vrs Op run day7/10 on 18z?
Here are my thoughts on the 18z GFS and what may occur.
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Yeah, I should cut back on saying that "it should happen" lol cause nothing is a guarantee in meteorology. The low that gets suppressed would be held back if that second system gets held back.Thanks for the video. Very good discussion!
I've been forecasting for some time, not a long time though. Most of my knowledge,however, comes from research and studies of historical systems than experience. But I do caution whenever a forecaster says that x "should" happen. I'm sure you have more experience than myself in winter forecasting. But Models are based on physics, so anything it shows is physically able to happen. I'm just wondering if you could elaborate more on why you think that the low should be held back and separated more.
Also, what about that low that gets completely suppressed under the high out west? Do y'all think anything could come of that?
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if you go to American someone sure as hell did ... yup .....Somebody just got NAM'd, I think!?
Amen, and amenDear Lord, I pray for Oz GFS tonight, along with my weather weenies who are around there computers tonight![]()
Armageddon?
You asking or saying?Armageddon?
Asking, even though I pretty much already know.You asking or saying?
Dear Lord, I pray for Oz GFS tonight, along with my weather weenies who are around there computers tonight