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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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the High io the 12z gfs is much further to the NW vs last night's 00z and this mornings 06z

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Oh yeah! Looking real good at 156. That's our winter storm right there over the Rockies.

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The second system holds without being swallowed up by that monster cutter but I wouldn't think we'd want to see it that strong...need it a bit weaker.
 
Storm5 said:
yeah and no doubt by then we see a mega -NAO set for the summer months

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If we're gonna have a winter this warm, I would at least like to have a cooler summer. Highs in the 80s/low 90s with Scattered Thunderstorms, gotta love it.
 
Well watching the lil low will it continue south and then flatten out or will it cut hmmm
 
And there it is! That's our winter storm! It shows again!

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Good upper south winter storm on this one.

The key is going to be timing, if this can survive that first system which is a monster cutter, it could work.
 
RollTide18 said:
If we're gonna have a winter this warm, I would at least like to have a cooler summer. Highs in the 80s/low 90s with Scattered Thunderstorms, gotta love it.
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This. I pray daily we get a summer that is nothing like the last one. I honestly will sacrifice a snow storm this late winter to get cool summer temps. And that's saying a lot coming from me.
 
Speed the High up a bit, get it a bit further South, and we likely have a storm threat again.

NC does well this run too.
 
Temps not real good for my area, but I'll take that run. Hope the GEFS comes in good and other models. If not then I may be looking for cabins in gatlinburg !
 
Also TN seems to do well.
 
SC gets it good on the backside. Heavy snow in Myrtle Beach even.
 
Look at the eastern Carolina's at 192! Wow.

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Close but no cigar for most areas of AL/GA

Good hit for TN and parts of Carolina though
 
gfs_asnow_us_33.png
 
whatalife said:
I haven't given up. I will come the 1st of March...LOL


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Well I never officially give up till the end of March. I mean after having seen a foot of snow on March 25th, and a couple of at least six inch ones on the first or second day of Spring, it's just really hard to do before then.
 
Would need that high to speed up and press a lil further for my area to get it
 
Wow did not expect that this run but not excited yet

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metwannabe said:
Wow did not expect that this run but not excited yet

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Around the same time, 06z wanted to pop something off the SC coast. Evolution was different though. Ensembles will be fun soon.
 
I'll have a video coming! I dont want to block up the board feed with what I want to say in text.

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_30.png
that low seems to be in the right spot, need a colder push to work for central Alabama, very close tho. This storm has great potential to become a monster if it wants
 
accu35 said:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_30.png
that low seems to be in the right spot, need a colder push to work for central Alabama, very close tho. This storm has great potential to become a monster if it wants
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Would not be a bad thing to have it a bit further South and tad slower for many involved.
 
Got to be honest after the past few winters the SE snow folks have faced we need these models to stick to something and throw us a bone, need this to get further south with the cold if so the majority of the SE would be in business, that Low had plenty of moisture feedback to produce a good snow across the South for goodness sake it's one run but can we get a little more cold and make this happen...where's corey tucker when you need him?
 
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