Not true. We had a lot of damage from Opal in 95 and we had tornadoes in my area from Hurricane Katrina.
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Pattern February Discussion part 3. Don's Winter Storm Hunt
- Thread starter Storm5
- Start date
pcbjr
Member
Opal was bad - I was on the AT near Neal Gap ... but all in all, I should have qualified, 'Cane season is no fun .... especially down here and along the entire Gulf coast.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol, screw that, bring on severe weather and wedges. At least w/ that longwave configuration we can score in that department.
Looks like MN, WI, etc will be dealing with a major winter storm late next week.
This hurricane season could be slow if there will be a moderate to strong Nino. A weak Nino, hurricane season will be more active with canes that make landfall. I just hope that damn SER don't persist this summer. If it does, it's going to be miserable this summer.
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It's amazing how different the pattern is now compared to 2 years ago.
I don't see how in the world it could be as miserable as last summer
He's talking about contig US as a whole. In much of the SE, 1976-7 is the coldest on record. 1977-8 is second coldest. 1978-9 was a cold SE winter (Jan-Feb), but not nearly as cold as the prior two. Note that the 2nd coldest in contig US, 1935-6, was also quite cold in the SE.
1978-79 didn't look so cold in Central and South FL based on that map. Was there a persistent SE ridge that winter ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Even without an El Nino, this hurricane season would struggle to be well above normal... Classic -AMO signature beginning to develop once again and the Atlantic Hadley Cell is still quite expansive (which likely contributed to abnormally high SAL of late and the hurricane seasons in the 2010s from really going nuts, esp 2010 (although it was quite active in its own right)). However, the low frequency warming of Atlantic SSTs should mitigate some of these other unfavorable parameters.
If the SER does persist during 'cane season, this would mean the Bahamas and the east coast at a threat of 'canes. Some storms could even make their way into the GOM. I think Webber posted up SSTs anomalies in the Gulf and they are above normal. If that continues, this would mean that the Gulf basin will be busy this 'cane season. Everything depends on the SSTs out in the Pacific as well.
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Hurricane season will be a dud with a raging Nino this summer
Right now there dealing with30+ degrees above normal temps!
That part of the country often sees their biggest snows in late winter and early spring I believe.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Persistence of the SER actually doesn't always bode well wrt landfalls on the eastern seaboard, a ridge over southeastern Canada (like we observed last summer) does however....
pcbjr
Member
Webb - Another great Saturday at school! Thanks!!
Phil
Phil
True, it depends on the subtropical jet too, the jet can cause vertical shear which would mean less 'canes along the east and it would prevent storms in the Gulf basin.
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olhausen
Member
Yep they get huge snows in march and even April up in Minnesota. My sister lives there and a lot of winters once the first snow falls you don't see bare ground until march or April.
Since you love snow so much, you should move to MN
TOR-CON-10
Member
Here in central Mississippi, I hear several lawn mowers blaring their ugly noise in the neighborhood. Lots of green lawns around.