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Wintry February 6th-7th

Maggie valley still looking good thought? I have my own thoughts still leaning towards 2-4 there. Unless the hrrrr and rap is right then it be a bust. What’s everybody else think there?


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You’ll be solid
 
Which is why I don’t completely dismiss what the HRRR is showing though I do think it’s totals are unrealistic. Looking back at the 3/13/2017 event, even though it was a different setup it did come from a strong frontogentic band, the HRRR was the first to pick up on the impressive rates that areas of the southern and eastern portion of the CLT metro had with that... 2-3 inches in a couple hours.... oddly enough the antecedent conditions today are very similar to the day before that system
I'm sorry but the HRRR is completely wrong. Nam will come out on top
 
I'm sorry but the HRRR is completely wrong. Nam will come out on top
Yeah, with these setups, but the warmest models. WAA with no cold source usually busts on the low end. I’ve learned my lesson after the last two storms. I think this really is only going to be an event for the mountains.
 
Which is why I don’t completely dismiss what the HRRR is showing though I do think it’s totals are unrealistic. Looking back at the 3/13/2017 event, even though it was a different setup it did come from a strong frontogentic band, the HRRR was the first to pick up on the impressive rates that areas of the southern and eastern portion of the CLT metro had with that... 2-3 inches in a couple hours.... oddly enough the antecedent conditions today are very similar to the day before that system


Well you guys will have a test dummy in GA to see if the warm nose can be broken through with heavy rates.
 
If Greenville gets 4-5”, I’m moving back!
The future cast models show it starting as rain in GSP area, then changing to snow after a bit! That’s always a dangerous game, and waiting on the flip is painful! I’m rooting for everyone!
But this is not a cold chasing Moisture situation. Totally different setup, not that I'm saying 4-5" no way I see that happening

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Well you guys will have a test dummy in GA to see if the warm nose can be broken through with heavy rates.
You’re absolutely correct... most areas in Upstate SC and western NC outside the mountains will know what’s going to happen based upon how things play out down your way
 
Gonna have to get lucky with this band, need good returns to get snow 929F5549-3CA7-4F1E-9B72-63EAF6F9A760.png81EAA561-0968-4EB8-AEB3-EA7F61929799.png
 
Maggie valley still looking good thought? I have my own thoughts still leaning towards 2-4 there. Unless the hrrrr and rap is right then it be a bust. What’s everybody else think there?


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Doesnt looks good. Moisture doesn’t make it.
 
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